Saturday, April 4, 2015

Behind Enemy Lines in the Final Four

Yo, this is Nicky the Fish and we’re back in the thick of the action that is the Final Four. We’re coming off a 3-1 Elite 8 weekend and thank the teasers for keep us ahead of the book, and now there are only 3 games left so let’s get to it. Firstly, our strategy this week will be to tease both the dogs as a hedge and then play the favorites to win individually. The dogs may have only have a 1-game lead in the tournament thus far but the odds makers may have been right on the money and the extra 4 or 5 points with the tease would have you well up for the tournament as a whole. That said, we’re going to tease Wisconsin up to 10 points vs. Kentucky and Michigan State up to 11 against Duke and then hedge with the favs (Duke -5.5 buy the hook) and (UK -4.5 buy the hook) on straight bets. We’re always afraid of a back-door cover when it comes time to fouling to save face but I don’t think we’re going to see it in these games. The only thing that really scares me is the Wildcats free-throw shooting, I hope that doesn’t take any food off our table, but that’s the chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, March 29, 2015

Behind Enemy Lines on the Final Day of the Sweet 16

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re back for some final action in the Sweet 16 after breaking even yesterday as the teaser came through again, so let’s stick with the strategy and see if it holds true. Our straight bet of the day is going to be Duke -2.5 vs Gonzaga as I think even though the teams are so evenly matched that if there didn’t have to be a winner it could end in perpetual overtimes, but someone does have to win and I think in the end the pro-ready Duke players will make the difference down the stretch. The Teaser play of the tournament has been to tease the dogs up as they have the overall edge 29-27 vs the favorites and when they don’t cover, their close enough to win with the tease, so take Michigan State up to 8.5 and the Zags to the same 8.5 to hedge the bet. That’s the Sweet chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Friday, March 27, 2015

Behind Enemy Lines in the NCAA Tourment

Yo, this is Nicky and even though we’re swimming with the Sharks we hit our straight bet yesterday with the Zags and our teaser with them and the Spartans. The straight bets have been on edge the entire tournament so we’ve been hedging with the teasers and getting by. On Saturday we see some value and think we can extend our streak so let’s get to it. In the early game I like the Arizona Wildcats (-.5) to beat Wisconsin. They match up better than probably anyone in the tournament with the Badgers and “Frank the Tank” will have his hands full with the Zona front line. The Wildcats have two NBA guards that provide the leadership and scoring that you need to move on to the next level and this game may come down to the final possession. Take the Cats and hedge with a teaser with the Irish +17 to hit enough 3s to keep it close with the undefeated Cats from Kentucky. That’s the Saturday morning chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! Yo This is Nicky and we’re back in the fire that is the NCAA Tournament on the second half of the Sweet 16 on Friday. Teasing has been the name of the game this tournament as since the first day the games have been close and taking the dogs up has been a successful strategy thus far, but in the first game of the night I think laying the points is a safer play. It’s not just because the Zags beat them earlier in the year on their home court, I just think it’s evitable that Tony Parker will get into foul trouble going up against the size of Gonzaga and the cupboard is bear for the Bruins (no pun intended) after that. Inside out then the outside shooting of the top team in the nation in regards to FG % should take over. I like the Zags -9 to move on. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, January 4, 2015

Behind Enemy Lines on Wild Card weekend

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re back in the mire that is the NFL playoffs after a decent bowl season, now it’s time to deal with the big boys so let’s get to it. In the final Wild Card game of opening the weekend I like Dallas -7 (buy the hook) to defend their turf and win a home playoff game. True that, Detroit has the best defensive front in the NFL and if they can stop the run, it changes how Tony Romo has to make throws in space, but that Detroit offense is simply not playoff ready and 15 points on the road per game during the regular season didn’t win before and I have concerns about them scoring as things really tighten up in the post-season. That’s the late day chowda’, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! Detroit: Team record: 11-5 SU,7-9 ATS Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Detroit's last 19 games Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road Dallas: Team record: 12-4 SU,10-6 ATS Current Streak: won 4 straight games. Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.