Saturday, April 4, 2015

Behind Enemy Lines in the Final Four

Yo, this is Nicky the Fish and we’re back in the thick of the action that is the Final Four. We’re coming off a 3-1 Elite 8 weekend and thank the teasers for keep us ahead of the book, and now there are only 3 games left so let’s get to it. Firstly, our strategy this week will be to tease both the dogs as a hedge and then play the favorites to win individually. The dogs may have only have a 1-game lead in the tournament thus far but the odds makers may have been right on the money and the extra 4 or 5 points with the tease would have you well up for the tournament as a whole. That said, we’re going to tease Wisconsin up to 10 points vs. Kentucky and Michigan State up to 11 against Duke and then hedge with the favs (Duke -5.5 buy the hook) and (UK -4.5 buy the hook) on straight bets. We’re always afraid of a back-door cover when it comes time to fouling to save face but I don’t think we’re going to see it in these games. The only thing that really scares me is the Wildcats free-throw shooting, I hope that doesn’t take any food off our table, but that’s the chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!
12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.