Saturday, September 27, 2014

Behind Enemy Lines in College Football

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re coming off our first undefeated weekend last weekend to get us above .500 for the season at 3-2, now it’s time to start doing some damage to the sportsbook so let’s get to it. On Saturday in the afternoon I like Washington (+8) at home to keep the game close with Stanford. This game is a total paradox as the experienced Stanford defense, and their ground-n-pound physical offense takes on the youthful spread offense of Washington. Needless to say it will be a little loud at Husky Stadium. The Huskies tend to play Stanford well, 2-0 ATS over the past 3 seasons. I think they will keep this game close and remember the rule, don’t bet on a dog that you don’t think can win on the field and UW has a good shot of doing that. I love getting a touchdown at home. That’s the early afternoon chowda’ back with a second helping shortly. In the late afternoon games I like Duke (+7.5) against Miami. The Canes are simply a program in disarray and Duke is much better than people know. Despite a solid performance from freshman quarterback Brad Kaaya, the 'Canes fell 41-31 to Nebraska, while Duke improved to 4-0 after dismantling Tulane 47-13. Last season, the Blue Devils shredded Miami for 358 yards on the ground, earning an 18-point victory over the Duke Johnson-less Hurricanes. For you quants Duke is a great cover team, probably due to the lack of respect, going 14-4 ATS over their last 18 games. I think they can win this one on the field as well. That’s the Saturday second helping, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! DUKE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. DUKE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons. DUKE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. DUKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons 2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.