Saturday, January 11, 2014

Behind Enemy Lines in the Divsional Round

Yo , this is Nicky and after starting the playoffs 3-1 we dropped our last NFL pick and didn’t hit the BCS Championship as Auburn surprised me and not only kept it close but perhaps should have won the game on the field. In the League we nailed the Wild Card Round but lost the last game as the SuperChargers went into Cincy and never needed the lumber as they easily won the game on the field. But this is a new week and we’ve got work to do so let’s get to it. I think it’s going to be a road show on Saturday as the early game I like the Saints (+9) going into Seattle. Straight up I don’t expect the Saints to win this game on the field but I do expect it to be much closer than people think. Wilson hasn’t looked good his last three games and the weather will play a big part as even with Percy Harvin I don’t expect the Hawks to hit their season average and that makes a ten point cover tough to do. The Saints are 1-4 ATS on the road against the Hawks and perhaps that’s why the line is so fat but the fact that Seattle opened up both cans of whoppin’ on them the last time they played makes be believe the Saints will bring a much better effort this time around and keep this one close. That’s the early game chowda’ I’m Nicky, and we’re still ranked #18 out of 40,949 on Showtime’s Beat the Insiders, hopefully we’ll get back in the top ten after this week. Stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up! Back with the late game shortly. In the late game on Saturday I’m going to go with the points and take the Colts (+7) going into the Razor to take on the Pats. I love the Brady/Belichick combination in the post season and realize New England is 8-0 at home this year but this is strictly a line play. It was only last season when the Patriots were undefeated at home, hosting the AFC Championship Game against a Ravens team that they looked better than on paper, and were laying 8 points. Go back an read the archives on the site, I wrote the same thing before that game as well, that this betting line is based on the reputation of the name on the helmets and not the current team on the field. How the Pats got this far with this team in beyond me, Bill has patched the ship up with duct tape and super glue and managed to win enough close games to host a playoff game. The weather will help but there are just too many holes in the Pats defense and add the loss of Spikes this week and I don’t see how they can score enough points to cover that big lumber it what will be a close game. Luck will not have the type of game he had on his first visit to the Razor and that will be the difference.

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.