Saturday, September 21, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines During Week 3 in the NFL

Yo this is Nicky, and we broke into the NCAA season in grand fashion going 2-0 as Michigan State was only out of the cover for one possession and Stanford was over mid-way through the first quarter so we were cracking them open early yesterday so let’s try to keep the momentum going into Sunday. On Sunday morning I like under (44.5) in the Pats/Bucs game. I was first looking at the Pats in a straight cover as they’re Tampa is 1-7 in their last 8 games and New England is 12-2 in their last 14, but with no Gronk and no Amendola I don’t know how they plan on scoring, similar to the 2nd half against Buffalo, where they only put six points on the board. For such a high powered offense that runs a ton of plays they only average 18 points a game and against a Tough Tampa Bay Defense they may get less than that. Ironically Tampa may be more anemic at 15 points per game and a very questionable quarterback who is going up against, once again, a very good Bill Belichick defense. I looked at this and wondered how they came up with 44 point total and if it was a bear trap, but these are teams that don’t turn the ball over (Tampa has a 0 difference and the Pats -1.5) so I don’t look for a lot of easy scores. I think this one is another good teaser if you can find something to pair it with but I like it on it’s own. That’s the Sunday chowda’ I’m Nicky, looking to go 3-0 for the weekend, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! RECENT FORM TEAM SU ATS OU OFF DEF Tampa Bay 0-2 1-1 0-2 15.50 17.00 New England 2-0 0-2 0-2 18.00 15.50 SMART CHART TB TEAM NE 15.5 PTS FOR 18.0 17.0 PTS AGNST 15.5 -1.5 DIFF. 2.5 149.0 PASS YDS 225.5 112.5 RUSH YDS 106.0 255.0 PASS D 169.5 82.5 RUSH D 132.5 0.0 TO DIFF -1.5 INJURIES TAMPA BAY PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Michael Adams CB Out Week 3 (knee) Gabe Carimi G Out Week 3 (illness) Derek Landri DT Out Week 3 (knee) Tom Crabtree TE Questionable Week 3 (ankle) Rashaan Melvin CB Questionable Week 3 (hamstring) Carl Nicks G Questionable Week 3 (foot) Luke Stocker TE Questionable Week 3 (hip) Adrian Clayborn DE Probable Week 3 (hip) Mason Foster LB Probable Week 3 (toe) NEW ENGLAND PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Matt Slater WR Out Week 3 (wrist) Danny Amendola WR Doubtful Week 3 (groin) Brandon Bolden RB Questionable Week 3 (knee) Dan Connolly G Questionable Week 3 (finger) Nate Ebner S Questionable Week 3 (ankle) Rob Gronkowski TE Questionable Week 3 (back, forearm) Will Svitek T Questionable Week 3 (knee) Leon Washington RB Questionable Week 3 (thigh) Zach Sudfeld TE Probable Week 3 (hamstring) BETTING TRENDS TAMPA BAY Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games Tampa Bay is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games Tampa Bay is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing New England Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England NEW ENGLAND The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games The total has gone OVER in 12 of New England's last 18 games New England is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games New England is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 10 games at home New England is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay New England is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.