Sunday, September 29, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines as the Undefeateds Fall

Yo this is Nicky and A & M decided to try and beat traffic, so they left Razorback stadium early, with about 10 minutes left to play, and didn’t even push a field goal across so we got beat by 2 breaking our win streak. However Arizona St. took care of business (then Lane lost his), so we ended the day in a split. Let’s try to build on the win on Sunday afternoon I like the home dog San Diego (+2) to beat the Ca’Boys. I thought the Chargers have looked good in all 3 games this season losing two of them by a combined 6 points and could easily be 3-0. Now we’ll be swimming against the stream on this one as the trends are not with us. The Chargers are a platry 1-8 ATS against non-conference opponents their last 9 games over the last 3 seasons and Dallas is 4-2 their last 6 when playing SD. This is purely a valuation play as I think there is huge value getting points at home for a team that has been within six points, either way, in every game this season. That’s the Sunday chowda’, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! I’ll be back later with the call for Monday Night. View all of Nicky's picks for the week here. DALLAS (2-1) AT SAN DIEGO (1-2) Sunday, Sep 29 2013 at 4:25 PM Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics Teams Line PF/PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY 0: DALLAS 0: SAN DIEGO OFF OFF 27.7 / 18.3 26.0 / 27.0 2-1 1-2 3-0-0 2-0-1 1-2-0 2-1-0 105.7 102.7 242.7 257.0 348.3 359.7 66.3 126.3 274.7 344.3 341.0 470.7 Power Rating Line The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. Power Rating Estimate Edge DALLAS -3 SAN DIEGO Team Trends and Angles All team trends listed below apply to the current game. DALLAS - Recent ATS Trends Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Description W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L in games where the line is +3 to -3 2-0 7-11 47-49 0-2 9-10 51-51 1-1 7-12 51-52 in all games 3-0 14-20 170-178 1-2 15-19 171-181 2-1 18-17 202-158 in all lined games 3-0 14-20 170-178 1-2 15-19 171-181 2-1 18-17 202-158 as a favorite 2-0 7-14 111-118 1-1 11-10 110-121 2-0 15-7 161-76 as a road favorite of 3 points or less 0-0 2-1 13-16 0-0 2-2 14-17 0-0 3-1 16-15 in road games 1-0 9-7 76-95 0-1 5-11 79-94 0-1 7-10 80-96 in road lined games 1-0 9-7 76-95 0-1 5-11 79-94 0-1 7-10 80-96 in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points 0-0 3-4 13-14 0-0 0-6 10-17 0-0 3-4 14-14 in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points 3-0 12-16 60-76 1-2 11-16 67-71 2-1 17-11 80-61 when playing with 6 or less days rest 2-0 9-14 116-120 0-2 10-13 118-121 1-1 14-10 137-109 against AFC West division opponents 1-0 1-0 11-12 0-1 0-1 13-12 0-1 0-1 13-12 in games played on a grass field 1-0 5-4 50-58 0-1 4-5 55-54 0-1 5-5 51-60 in September games 3-0 5-3 38-34 1-2 3-6 37-35 2-1 6-3 45-28 in non-conference games 1-0 7-2 39-45 0-1 4-5 40-48 0-1 5-4 47-41 when playing against a team with a losing record 0-0 4-10 57-66 0-0 5-8 49-73 0-0 9-5 79-46 SAN DIEGO - Recent ATS Trends Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Description W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L in games where the line is +3 to -3 0-0 6-11 62-61 0-1 9-9 63-64 0-1 6-12 65-65 in all games 2-0 14-19 179-165 2-1 20-15 178-167 1-2 16-19 180-173 in all lined games 2-0 14-19 179-165 2-1 20-15 178-167 1-2 16-19 180-173 as an underdog 2-0 7-9 90-83 2-1 13-5 95-80 1-2 6-12 62-116 as a home underdog of 3 points or less 0-0 1-3 15-18 0-0 2-2 18-15 0-0 1-3 15-18 in home games 1-0 6-11 84-87 1-0 7-10 79-95 0-1 8-9 102-74 in home lined games 1-0 6-11 84-87 1-0 7-10 79-95 0-1 8-9 102-74 in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points 0-0 0-5 13-17 0-0 1-4 13-18 0-0 0-5 15-16 in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points 1-0 7-13 63-77 1-1 10-12 72-72 0-2 8-14 66-80 when playing with 6 or less days rest 1-0 10-12 145-127 1-1 13-11 143-130 1-1 12-12 143-137 against NFC East division opponents 1-0 1-0 13-7 1-0 1-0 13-9 1-0 1-0 14-8 in games played on a grass field 2-0 13-16 140-142 2-1 17-14 144-142 1-2 15-16 151-140 in September games 2-0 5-4 40-35 2-1 5-5 37-36 1-2 6-4 41-36 in non-conference games 1-0 1-8 40-42 1-0 5-4 51-33 1-0 2-7 39-45 when playing against a team with a winning record 0-0 3-5 71-59 0-0 6-3 57-75 0-0 3-6 63-71

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.