Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Pulling Double Duty Behind Enemy Lines - NBA and MLB

Yo This is Nicky and we’re pullin’ double duty tonight as we’ve got an all important game 6 in the NBA Finals and some good value on the baseball diamond as well so let’s get to it. In the NBA I’ve learned my lesson and taken my hits trying to go against the trend but at this point my hand has been burned too many times and I’m taking it out of the fire. I’m not going to bet against the Heat despite the fact that seven points is a ton of lumber in a game like this because Pop is known for sitting his players when he believes the battle has been lost but the war can still be won. Just the same I’m going to try and use a little leverage as over the last three games the total has consistently increased from 190 to 202 to 218 in game 5. I think a total of (192) is doable but I like teasing it down to (187) and pair it with the Heat (down to -2) and play the fact that they’ve never lost two games in a row. I know we don’t normally play teasers outside of football but I see some good value in this one. That’s the NBA chowda’, stay tuned for a little baseball as well. On the diamond I like the Tampa Bay Rays (+115) to take game two of the double header at Boston. After a long 3-hour rain delay that all but emptied out Fenway Park the Sox won an easy 5-1 game but I think the odds are with the Rays in game two with Hellickson (4-3) on the bump against Dempster (4-7). The Rays have lost two straight coming in and play better than .500 ball on the season, moreover the pct chance of a sweep by the Sox is below 30% so I’m going to make a straight numbers play. There’s a bowl of Boston Clam to eat while you’re watching the game. Stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.