Thursday, June 20, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in Game 7

Yo, this is Nicky and it’s time to buckle up for a ballistic game 7. We hit the Game 6 call but needed some serious love from RayRay and a collapse by the Spurs to get there, and even with all of that had we not teased the Heat down to a bucket we would have lost. However never forget some of the backdoor beats we’ve taken over the last year when we’ve made the right call in principal, only to have a freak play(s) take the money out of our pocket so at the end of the day if you’re cashin’ a ticket, you made the right call so let’s get to it. In game 7 I’m going to stick with the same strategy and tease the numbers to work in our favor. I’m going to tease the Spurs up to 10.5 and tease the over down to 184. I know we’ve got some overtime help with the last one, but that is four games in a row that have gone over and I think with the vets in this game they will shoot well and we’ll see some high numbers. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Pulling Double Duty Behind Enemy Lines - NBA and MLB

Yo This is Nicky and we’re pullin’ double duty tonight as we’ve got an all important game 6 in the NBA Finals and some good value on the baseball diamond as well so let’s get to it. In the NBA I’ve learned my lesson and taken my hits trying to go against the trend but at this point my hand has been burned too many times and I’m taking it out of the fire. I’m not going to bet against the Heat despite the fact that seven points is a ton of lumber in a game like this because Pop is known for sitting his players when he believes the battle has been lost but the war can still be won. Just the same I’m going to try and use a little leverage as over the last three games the total has consistently increased from 190 to 202 to 218 in game 5. I think a total of (192) is doable but I like teasing it down to (187) and pair it with the Heat (down to -2) and play the fact that they’ve never lost two games in a row. I know we don’t normally play teasers outside of football but I see some good value in this one. That’s the NBA chowda’, stay tuned for a little baseball as well. On the diamond I like the Tampa Bay Rays (+115) to take game two of the double header at Boston. After a long 3-hour rain delay that all but emptied out Fenway Park the Sox won an easy 5-1 game but I think the odds are with the Rays in game two with Hellickson (4-3) on the bump against Dempster (4-7). The Rays have lost two straight coming in and play better than .500 ball on the season, moreover the pct chance of a sweep by the Sox is below 30% so I’m going to make a straight numbers play. There’s a bowl of Boston Clam to eat while you’re watching the game. Stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Finals

Yo, This is Nicky and we’ve hit all three of our NBA Finals plays to this point including taking the Spurs in game 3, who made it very easy for us, so let’s keep the mo’ going into a crucial game 4. The statistic everyone is focusing on is 3-1, as no team in the Finals has made it back from that kind of deficit so the Heat is up against it I don’t know if they have enough to power through and take a tough game on the road but I think it will be close and I don’t expect the Spurs to shoot as well as they did in game when they set the record to made 3’s in a Finals game. Therefore I like the under (187, buy the hook) and expect a tightly contested, defensive game. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, June 11, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Finals for Game 3

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re in the heat (no pun intended) of the NBA Finals. We decided to lay the under in game 1 which came through for us and as the series shifts back to San Antonio for game 3 we’re ready to get back into the trenches so let’s get to it. In game 3 I like the Spurs (-1.5 buy that hook!) to hold serve at home. This one will be highly contested as both teams are well aware that over the last 13 times a series was tied at 1, the winner of game 3 has won the NBA Title 92% of the time, with the only aberration being the Heat in 2011. I know the Heat had a great run that was a prototype on how to beat the Spurs but duplicating that feat and having SA commit so many turnovers again is highly unlikely. The Spurs are a great home team and their crowd hasn’t seen them play in almost 3 weeks. It will be a ruckus crowd and I look for them to shoot very well and force the Heat supporting cast to do so as well. Other than RayRay I don’t see that happening and LBJ looking frustrated come q4. That’s the chowda’, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, June 6, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Finals

Yo this is Nicky and we’ve reached the finals of the NBA season. The first two rounds were pretty easy to call but things certainly got a little tougher in the conference finals and I’m sure the NBA Finals won’t be any easier but that’s why we get paid the big bucks so let’s get to it. Playing game one is like diving into the pool before you test it out, it may be nice an warm or sting like knives all the way in. The Spurs have looked like the best team in the NBA after those first two games with Golden State, while the Heat have looked like the a team that survived the brutal Eastern Conference gauntlet to the finals. They look worn, injured, and in need of a break but they also realize their so close to their goal and getting another monkey off their back. Conversely, this ain’t the Spurs first rodeo either, particularly their Big-3 so this one should be close and I don’t know who’s going to get out first so I’m going to play on the fact that the Heat have only allowed 100 points to an opponent once in these playoffs and I don’t expect the Heat to run up and down the floor so I like the Under (191) to get a tow in the pool and then see how things look for game 2. That’s the chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!
12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.