Sunday, December 29, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on The Final Week of the NFL Season

Yo, this is Nicky and I know it looks like straight forward week in the NFL as you gotta’ pound the teams with something to play for when their going up against a team headed for a pick in the first ten of the draft (ie; Pats vs. Bills), also fear the afternoon games as the team you place on could be DOA come kickoff (ie; Arizona Cardinals) but therein lie the bear traps so check the ice before you skate and let’s get to it. I know in the early games Carolina and New England look attractive and why would we even get involved in a ‘do-or-die” game like the Ravens v. Bengals, but the that’s one of the only games that will be playing true to form. True, the Bengals are in regardless and the Ravens need a win for a chance to defend their title so this screams take the points, but…. the Bengals are 7-0 ATS at home this season, and 8-2 ATS on turf, and still have a chance at home field if the Pats don’t handle their business against the Bills. So, yes the second half could be duress if the Pats get off to a 24-0 lead but don’t forget about what the Bills and that run defense did to the Fish who beat New England just the week before. Obviously that’s why I’m laying off the Pats -8, so take the Bengals -6.5 buy the hook and I’ll talk to you before the afternoon games. That’s the morning chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!!

Saturday, December 7, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on Championship Saturday

Yo, This is Nicky and if you’ve been following us we’ve worked our way back up the ranks of the Showtime “Beat the Insiders” poll and we’re back in the top 15, #15 out of 41,000 just 4 games out of the top spot so look for me there as well. Ok, the Cards made us sweat on Sunday but came back to backdoor cover our 3.5 to give us a nice 3-0 Thanksgiving week. We’re back in business on a week later on championship Saturday I like the Stanford Cardinal (+3.5) to go into Sun Devil Stadium and either win on the field or keep it close. The Cardinal are 18-2 over their last 20 games, including 7-2 on the road, while the Sun Devils are only 4-8-1 ATS their last 13 when playing Stanford. When viewing like opponents (UCLA, Notre Dame, Utah) and a previous matchup earlier in the year where Stanford won by 14 points we don’t think playing in Sun Devil Stadium should make that big change in the line. Stanford has been here before and we expect them to play like it. That’s the Saturday chowda’ I’m Nicky, we’ll see ya again tomorrow, in the meantime stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, December 1, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines to start the last month of the year

Yo, this is Nicky, we’re coming of a split as Clemson with right with South Carolina stride for stride after 100 meters (17-17), but unfortunately for us it was a 200 meter race and then they got left in the dust. But Stanford delivered in grand fashion to give us our split for the day. I’m sure we all need to catch our breath after the other college games even if we didn’t have a stake in them but money never sleeps so let’s get to it. On Sunday the meat is cut really thin as several lines are close to zero, making for an excellent teaser day if that’s your game but dealing with the straight line in the early games I like the Arizona Cardinals (+3.5 buy that hook) to play well on the road and hang with the Eagles. I know the Eagles have been playing well but so have the cards and I think Philly is due to come back to earth. The Cards are 4-1 their last 5 and more importantly have the pass D to slow down the Eagles offense. That’s the early chowda’ back with the afternoon games later. Stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Friday, November 29, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on Thanksgiving Weekend

Yo this Nicky and we’re on one of those rolls again as the Rams easily covered us on Sunday and Oklahoma State didn’t need any of the lumber on Saturday, that makes 3 in a row for us so let’s keep the mo’ going on Thanksgiving weekend. On Saturday I like Stanford (-14.5) to easily handle Notre Dame at home. Stanford is 17-2 its last 19 and playing tough competition. A stingy defense that allows only 19 points per game against much more potent offenses than they will see Saturday and a rushing game that should be able to move the ball at will against ND that almost gives up 200 ypg. Most importantly, a loss allows Oregon to take the Pac-12 North title and that is simply not going to happen on “The Farm”. I also like Clemson (-4) going into South Carolina to take on the Head Ball Coach and the Gamecocks. South Carolina has never had a streak of five consecutive wins over Clemson. The favored Gamecocks may well find themselves in the position of trying to protect a lead throughout a tough second half against a Clemson team that's not only trying to prevent such history but also has a BCS bowl berth of their own on the line. Simultaneously, the Gamecocks may well also be in the position of learning with increasing dismay that one of the best teams in Missouri history is pulling away from visiting Texas A&M as the game wears on in "Columbia West." That's the chowda' I'm Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on a Statement Game Sunday

Yo, this is Nicky and we managed to get back in the win column in college football yesterday as Ok State easily took care of business on the field yesterday let alone with the additional nine points, for fun. We’ve had a little better streak in the NFL as that has been a little easier to call so let’s hope that train keeps going as we get into the trenches so let’s get to it. In the early games I like the St. Louis Rams (-.5 buy the hook) to beat the Bears at home. Regardless if Cutler plays or not the Bears are 1-6 ATS their last seven games and this is the Rams do-or-die game for the playoffs at 4-6, and have dropped two straight at home I look for them to bounce back and win this one on the field, which means a cover. That’s the early morning chowda’ I’m Nicky, be back later for the late game. CHICAGO BEARS ST. LOUIS RAMS 6-4 November 24, 1:00 PM | Turf of Edward Jones Dome 4-6 BETTING TRENDS CHICAGO Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 12 games Chicago is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing St. Louis Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis Chicago is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis ST. LOUIS St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home St. Louis is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home St. Louis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing Chicago St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago St. Louis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

Saturday, November 23, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines to start Thanksgiving Week

Yo, this is Nicky and the Ravens did everything they could to lose the game on the field against the Bears but just enough to cover the spread so we ended up with a split last weekend after the painful Georgia “hail Mary” loss to Auburn, but there is some value on the table for this weekend on both days so let’s back to work. On Saturday I like two games on the docket that go off later in the day. I like the Oklahoma State Cowboys +8.5 at home against Baylor. I know Baylor has every arrow on the board facing their direction but their strength of schedule has a lot to do with that, and I like what I’ve seen of the Ok St. defense the last three games, particularly against Texas. For you quants, Baylor has rolled the competition lately but not against the Cowboys, in fact, they’re 1-6 ATS against them their last 7 and 2-17 in their last 19 games vs. Ok. State straight up. Ok State is 6-0 their last six and a two-touchdown average margin of victory at home when you throw out the cupcakes. They’ll stay in this one and maybe even win it on the field. That’s the chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, November 17, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines after a bad beat on Saturday

Yo, this is Nicky and that could have possibly been the worst beat I’ve ever taken yesterday. First Georgia makes the amazing 4th quarter comeback and not only get into cover territory but take the lead on the field, only to give up a “David Tyree” on a 4th an 18 that goes for the winning score. Ouch. So, let’s mark that one in the book among the all-time worst and move on to Sunday. In the early games I like the Baltimore Ravens +3.5 (buy the hook) against the Chicago Bears. This isn’t a Cutler bet this is a play based on how close the Ravens have been playing their games. The Ravens haven’t lost a game by more than 3 points since opening day to the Broncos. Moreover the Ravens had played between 7 points both ways in every game other than two so I expect this one to be played close to sea level the whole game. That’s the early morning chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, November 16, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on the first of the elimination weekends in college football

Yo this is Nicky and we’ve been licking our wounds after a sub-.500 weekend last week, and we also dropped out of the top 25 on Showtime’s “Beat the Insiders” after a brutal 6-8 week so now we’ve got some work to do so let’s get to it. On Saturday I like Georgia (+3.5) against Auburn. I know road teams in the SEC are normally a bad bet but I love that the Dawgs have some of their critical IR list coming back expect them to not only cover but win this one on the field. I know Auburn’s strength is on the ground and Georgia is 55th in the nation against the run but one could argue that Auburn’s passing attack is almost non-existent and the Dawg secondary is in the top 20 against the pass so they can afford to send one or two up in the trenches to help stop the run. I think this will be tight so take the Dawgs and the lumber. That’s the early morning chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, November 10, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NFL

Yo, this is Nicky and we couldn’t have called the Pittsburgh/New England game any worse than we did going with the Under. Brady had his breakout game of the year throwing for 3 or 4 touchdowns and the Pats offense finally looked like the Pats offense, my bad. We’re still just under 70% for the season ATS and 74% Straight up. We’re still in the top ten (#7) on Showtime’s “Beat the Insiders” and hope to climb up that ladder this weekend so follow me there as well. I’ve read your comments and tweets and understand that sometimes you need a little more lead time, so going forward we’ll post the daily picks 1 hour before game time on Sunday (Noon EST) and Saturdays at 11am EST so you’ll know when to look for it. Ok, there is some value on the table on Sunday so let’s get to it. In the early games on Sunday I like the Giants (-7 buy the hook) to beat the Raiders at home. The Giants are hitting their typical late season surge after everyone leaves them for dead, very similar to their Super Bowl runs of the last decade. Fortunately for them the NFC East is a total mess where 7-9 might win you the division (pardon the hyperbole) but that may not bee too far off so they’ll still be playing with some passion as one more loss and then they’ll need to run the table. They’re coming off their bye week and they should handle the Raiders on the field. Oakland is 0-5 their last five road games and the GMen are 7-3 their last ten at home. That’s the early morning chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, November 3, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on the back nine of the NFL Season

Yo, This is Nicky and we got back in the win column in college football on Saturday as Michigan State was a solid choice to take the Paul Bunyan trophy and cover less than a touchdown so let’s keep the momentum going on Sunday in the NFL. On Sunday I like the Under (44) in the Patriots and Steelers. The Pats still have issues offensively even with Gronk coming back as Brady still lacks targets to throw to that can actually catch the ball, and he’s still having problems finding the end zone through the air not throwing a td pas in 2 of his last 4 games. On the other side of the ball the injuries on the defensive side of the ball for New England does have the potential for big points but Pittsburgh only rushes for 68 yards a game so it may not be that big of a factor. The Pats only average 22 and the Steelers 17 per game and that may be less if the weather is bad. That’s the Sunday chowder, I’m Nicky, check me out on Showtime’s “Beat the Insiders” as we’re ranked 5th out of 39,700 players. That’s the Sunday Chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, November 2, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on a College football Saturday

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re coming off another NFL win as the Saints easily handled Buffalo after a bad first half to get our cover. Our NFL game has been on point, so much so that we’re now ranked #5 out of 39,457 players on Showtime’s “Beat the Insiders” so follow me there as well, but this is about college so let’s get to it. We’ve had some problems in the collegiate ranks lately, playing just above .500 so we’ve had to evaluate how we’re viewing the numbers but I think I still see some value on the board. In the afternoon games I like Michigan State (-4) to beat Michigan in another rivalry game. Michigan has been surviving this season and mostly because they were at home but they go on the road to a hostile place against a school that doesn’t feel like they’re getting the love they deserve and this will be their statement game. Michigan may be 6-1 their last 7 but their 5-13-1 ATS so they ain’t winning pretty and 4 seems like a small number to cover at home for a team that is 4-1-1 ATS their last six games like the Spartans. That’s the Saturday chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up! College Football Trend Report MICHIGAN (6 - 1) at MICHIGAN ST (7 - 1) - 11/2/2013, 3:30 PM Top Trends for this game. MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons. MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons. MICHIGAN ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons. MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons 2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Sunday, October 27, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines as the NFL Reaches the Midway Point

Yo, this is Nicky and we got “backdoored” by Ducks with just over two minutes left to take our money away on Saturday so we’re 0-1 going into the NFL but that’s where we’ve made a living the last three weeks so let’s get to it. On Sunday morning I like the Saints -10 to beat the Bills in the dome. New Orleans is coming off a loss against the Pats in a game they had well in hand and on top of that have had to sit on that loss for over a week with their bye week. I look for them to take out their frustrations on another AFC East team this weekend and the Bills are just in the wrong place at the wrong time. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS on the road and 1-6 straight up I only hope the Saints don’t take the foot off the gas too early and rest starters and give up a late touchdown to make this less of a blowout but after letting Tom Terrific come down the field with not time outs and beat them in the final seconds, I doubt it. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! BETTING TRENDS BUFFALO The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road Buffalo is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing New Orleans NEW ORLEANS The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Buffalo New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo View All of Nicky's Picks Here

Saturday, October 26, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on A College Saturday

Yo this is Nicky and thanks to the GMEN coming out of their shell and covering easily we managed to finish the week 2-1 after dropping the first game on Saturday. The only games we’ve lost have been in the college ranks so we’re going to have to keep our eyes up as the collegiate ranks are starting to get a bit unpredictable, but that separates the playaz from the pretenders so let’s get to it. On Saturday afternoon we’re either going to be spot on or go o-fer based on our perception of how big home field advantage will be, but I like UCLA +24.5 to go into Eugene and play the Ducks tough. Actually, we don’t even need them to play them tough just don’t get blown back to LA and I don’t think they will. They may have had a dose of reality against Stanford where their high powered offense that was top 5 in the county got all but shut down, but I think Mora will learn a lesson and have them ready to make some adjustments. Don’t forget UCLA still averages 38 points a game themselves and should be able to score enough to keep this one close in the 4th let alone getting beat by 4 touchdowns. Oregon is 1-3-1 ATS at home against the Bruins and we look for that trend to continue. That’s the early morning bowl of chowda’ we’ll be back with more later on. Stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! UCLA BRUINS OREGON DUCKS 5-1 October 26, 7:00 PM | Turf of Autzen Stadium 7-0 RECENT FORM TEAM SU ATS OU OFF DEF UCLA 5-1 5-1 2-4 39.83 19.17 OREG 7-0 6-1 5-2 57.57 17.29 SMART CHART UCLA TEAM OREG 39.8 PTS FOR 57.6 19.2 PTS AGNST 17.3 20.7 DIFF. 40.3 301.7 PASS YDS 310.7 198.5 RUSH YDS 332.4 210.2 PASS D 251.9 147.0 RUSH D 118.3 -0.5 TO DIFF -1.9 INJURIES UCLA PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Jordon James RB Doubtful October 26 (ankle) Owamagbe Odighizuwa DE Out For Season (hip) Torian White T Out For Season (ankle) OREGON PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Colt Lyerla TE Out For Season (personal) BETTING TRENDS UCLA UCLA is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA's last 5 games UCLA is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road UCLA is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road UCLA is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oregon The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA's last 6 games when playing Oregon UCLA is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oregon OREGON Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 7 games Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home Oregon is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing UCLA Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing UCLA The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games when playing UCLA Oregon is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against UCLA Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against UCLA

Monday, October 21, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on Monday Night

You this is Nicky and we’re trying to finish the weekend above .500 as we missed badly on Clemson as they wouldn’t have been able to cover a Super Teaser on Saturday after getting worked at home, but the J-E-T-S Jets, Jets, Jets were only out of the cover for a short while and ended up winning on the field on Sunday so we went 1-1. We’ve worked our way up to #16 out of 38,781 on Showtime’s Beat the Insiders (amazing the kind of training picking against the spread can do for you!), so make sure you’re following me on twitter to get those as well. Anyway let’s get to it on a Monday Night. I think the GMEN are going to get their first victory of the season tonight (-3.5 buy the hook if you don’t get it) at home against the Vikings. There isn’t going to be much to look forward to for the Giants this season and being highlighted on Monday Night Football may be the high point of their season. This may be a battle of futality as the Vikings are 1-5 their last six and the Giants are 0-5, but Josh Freeman just is not acclimated enough to this offense to put together a win. I would have liked it batter at 2.5 but I certainly wouldn’t go the other way and take the points which makes me feel pretty good. That’s the Monday Night Chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines In A Top Five Matchup

Yo, this is Nicky back if the fray on Saturday afternoon as the games are getting tougher to pick, as I look at the board today most of these games can still go either way so you’re sweating these out. However we’re going get in the octagon at 5pm on the game everyone will be watching and I’m going to take Clemson and the 5 at home to upset Florida State. This is a 3 v 5 matchup with the 5 going on the road to a very tough place to play. I know Florida State has the stats in their favor leading in almost every statistical category but there’s a couple of aberration games that if you throw those stats out, this is a much closer matchup. Clemson could win this one on the field and in a tough game like this one, giving up more than a field goal seems like way too much. That’s the evening chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, October 13, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NFL in week 6

Yo, this is Nicky and what can I say we hit our play again yesterday calling the upset of Stanford by taking Utah plus the points. That’s five in a row and I see some value again on Sunday so let’s get to it. There are some good games in the morning but we normally pick the best on the board and go with it, that said, I’ll wait until the late games and go with the Saints (+1) on the road, going into the Razor to take on the Pats. I think people are looking at the records 5-0 and 4-1 or the names on the helmets and basing the line on that. However, smoke and mirrors removed, the Patriots offense is the worse it’s been in years, cleverly disguised by wins over sub-par teams as Atlanta make poignantly clear with a home loss to the Jets in prime time, the one Patriot statement road win. Even if Gronk plays, he won’t be 100% and will take a while to get back into the flow. Danny Amendola has not come close to putting up Welker numbers or being a big a part of the overall offense. Tom Brady finally had his consecutive games with a touchdown pass streak broken last week, and not by some storied secondary with hall of famers, no it was the Cincinnati Bengals whom have give up over 250 yards per game through the air. The Pats Rookie receivers may come around but it ain’t gonna’ be this week and I don’t know how the pats are going to score enough to hang with the Saints. That’s the Sunday chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, October 12, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on an Upset Filled Saturday

Yo, this is Nicky, and after hitting the over on the Titans game on Sunday we’ve won four straight so if your book hasn’t cut you off let’s take some more food off his table. I’ve been sitting and watching this Saturday and there has been some tough sledding and I’m glad I’ve been watching from the sidelines as that Red River shootout took me totally by surprise, but I must say Missouri did not. I think the evening games will have similar results so eyes up as you’re treading through the jungle. That said I like Utah {+9} at home to keep it close against Stanford. I know they’re coming off a tough loss against UCLA but they match up well defensively against the Cardinal and they have a shot of winning this one on the field. The weather will be bad and that may play to the strength of the UTEs. That’s the Saturday bowl of chowda’ back with more in a full day on Sunday. Stay in the ring, and keep your gloves up! STANFORD CARDINAL UTAH UTES 5-0 October 12, 6:00 PM | Turf of Rice-Eccles Stadium 3-2 RECENT FORM TEAM SU ATS OU OFF DEF STANFO 5-0 2-3 4-1 39.20 21.20 UTAH 3-2 3-2 3-2 39.00 26.20 SMART CHART STANFO TEAM UTAH 39.2 PTS FOR 39.0 21.2 PTS AGNST 26.2 18.0 DIFF. 12.8 197.0 PASS YDS 286.4 211.4 RUSH YDS 194.8 260.8 PASS D 274.2 111.8 RUSH D 131.8 -0.2 TO DIFF 0.8 INJURIES STANFORD PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Henry Anderson DL Out Indefinitely (leg) UTAH PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION No Injuries to report. BETTING TRENDS STANFORD Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of Stanford's last 5 games Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road UTAH Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games Utah is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games at home

Sunday, October 6, 2013

Behind Enemy lines on Sunday Week 5

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re just cookin’ like Betty Crocker this week as we’re 3-0 after hitting the over on the Browns/Bills and UCLA 6.5 on Thursday, Florida -13 on Saturday. Let’s keep the mo’ going into Sunday as there is some really good value on the board and it’s another total game. I like the over 38.5 in the Chiefs/Titans game. KC is averaging 25 points per game and the Titans about the same at 24.5. I know it seems like a bear trap but the oddsmakers are thinking too much on this one. That's the Sunday Chowda' I'm Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, October 5, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on Saturday Afternoon in the SEC

You this is Nicky and we hit our first two games of the weekend on Thursday as the Bruins managed to hang on and not only win but cover the 6.5 and in the NFL the Browns and Bills went over for fun as we almost had the cover at half-time so one duress game and one cake walk, at least we knew we were at least breaking even going into the 2nd half. On Saturday afternoon I like the Florida Gators (-12.5 buy the hook) to beat up on a bad team by SEC standards the Arkansas Razorbacks. The Gator defense is only allowing 12.8 points per game and in the Swamp on a Saturday Night it may not be that much. Arkansas has had their trouble with the speed of the Gators in the past going 1-7 ATS over their last eight games spanning over a decade. The Razorbacks are also 1-9 ATS their last 10 so they’ve struggled against pretty much everyone on the road regardless of conference. That’s the Saturday afternoon chaowda’, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, October 3, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines Early in the Football Week

Yo, This is Nicky and we’re ready to start the weekend early as we’re getting to the action on Thursday night as we some good value on the board so let’s get to it. We went 2-0 in the NFL last week as the SuperChargers didn’t need the 2 points at home and beat Dallas on the field. We actually had an easier time with the Saints covering the 7-point line at home so we’re riding a solid streak and back in business on Thursday night. Starting in college football, as we split last weekend after A & M couldn’t hold down the two touchdown lead, I like the #UCLA Bruins (-6.5 buy the hook) to beat the Utah Utes on the road. The Bruins are coming off a very emotional win over Nebraska where they played one of the best halves of football that school has seen since they lead USC 24-0 last year. They’ve had an extra week to prepare and let their emotions settle. They’re more talented and averaging 52 points per game ( I know New Mexico State bumped that up) but they’re well coached and 8-3 over their last 11. UCLA’s soring is ranked 3rd vs. Utah’s defense which is ranked 59th, that’s spells a cover to me. UCLA BRUINS UTAH UTES 3-0 October 3, 10:00 PM | Turf of Rice-Eccles Stadium 3-1 RECENT FORM TEAM SU ATS OU OFF DEF UCLA 3-0 3-0 2-1 52.67 18.00 UTAH 3-1 3-1 3-1 42.00 24.25 SMART CHART UCLA TEAM UTAH 52.7 PTS FOR 42.0 18.0 PTS AGNST 24.3 34.7 DIFF. 17.8 330.0 PASS YDS 286.0 284.3 RUSH YDS 218.8 177.0 PASS D 288.3 162.0 RUSH D 118.3 0.7 TO DIFF 0.0 INJURIES UCLA PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Owamagbe Odighizuwa DE Out For Season (hip) UTAH PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION No Injuries to report. BETTING TRENDS UCLA UCLA is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games The total has gone OVER in 8 of UCLA's last 10 games UCLA is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road UCLA is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 4 of UCLA's last 5 games on the road UTAH Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games Utah is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games at home HEAD TO HEAD SUMMARY TEAM SU ATS OU PTS RYDS YPR PA PC% PYDS TOTY TO UCLA 2-2 1-3 1-3 16.0 127.5 3.1 29.8 60.5 234.3 361.8 2.0 Utah 2-2 3-1 1-3 24.8 133.3 4.2 28.8 54.8 187.5 320.8 1.5 HEAD TO HEAD DETAIL DATE DAY AWAY PTS HOME PTS T/G HOMELINE ATS RY PY TY TO RY PY TY TO 10/13/2012 Sat UTAH 14 UCLA 21 G -9½/51½ UTAH/U 75 244 319 1 171 183 354 1 11/12/2011 Sat UCLA 6 UTAH 31 T -6½/45½ UTAH/U 149 146 295 2 224 67 291 1 09/15/2007 Sat UCLA 6 UTAH 44 T 15/44 UTAH/O 83 290 373 5 122 264 386 1 09/02/2006 Sat UTAH 10 UCLA 31 G -3/53 UCLA/U 112 175 287 3 107 318 425 0 TEAMS LAST 5 GAMES UCLA DATE DAY OPPONENT SCORE SU LINE ATS ORY OPY OTY DRY DPY DTY TO +/- 09/21/2013 Sat NMEXST 59-13 W -44.0/66.5 W/O 298 394 692 187 146 333 -1 09/14/2013 Sat at NEBR 41-21 W 1.0/70.5 W/U 210 294 504 128 203 331 0 08/31/2013 Sat NEVADA 58-20 W -20.5/67.5 W/O 345 302 647 171 182 353 -1 12/27/2012 Thu BAYLOR 26-49 L -3.0/81.5 L/U 33 329 362 306 188 494 3 11/30/2012 Fri at STANFO 24-27 L 9.5/47.0 W/O 284 177 461 170 155 325 -1 UTAH DATE DAY OPPONENT SCORE SU LINE ATS ORY OPY OTY DRY DPY DTY TO +/- 09/21/2013 Sat at BYU 20-13 W 7.0/60.5 W/U 129 273 402 183 260 443 1 09/14/2013 Sat OREGST 48-51 L -3.5/54.0 L/O 260 279 539 48 443 491 -3 09/07/2013 Sat WEBER 70-7 W -27.5/48.5 W/O 338 290 628 69 136 205 2 08/29/2013 Thu UTAHST 30-26 W -1.0/52.5 W/O 148 302 450 173 314 487 0 11/23/2012 Fri at COLO 42-35 W -23.5/50.5 L/O 208 128 336 112 306 418 4 SUPERGRID RANK RANK UCLA's Overall Scoring vs Utah's Overall Defense 52.67 3 24.25 59 UCLA's Road Passing vs Utah's Home Defense 294.00 30 297.67 114 UCLA's Road Rushing vs Utah's Home Defense 210.00 28 96.67 26 Utah's Overall Scoring vs UCLA's Overall Defense 42.00 19 18.00 29 Utah's Home Passing vs UCLA's Road Passing Defense 290.33 34 203.00 41 Utah's Home Rushing vs UCLA's Road Rushing Defense 248.67 34 128.00 34 NFL on Thursday Night Moving to the NFL on Thursday night where we often shy away, there is some good value that looks so good it will either be a huge bear trap or our easiest cover of the weekend. I like the Over (40.5) in the Browns/Bills matchup as the Bills have been averaging 22 points per game thus far this season (just over half their share) but where the hidden value is could be Browns as they may only be averaging 16 (putting the simple average at 38 so under) but the first two games we largely responsible for that as they only scored 16 total. Since then they’ve averaged 24 points per game and have actually had the offense clicking. This is a winnable game for the Browns and don’t rule out overtime. An excellent teaser opportunity to take this game way down to 34 if you want to pair it with the Bruins. That’s the Thursday chowda’, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! Teams Line PF/PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY 0: BUFFALO 0: CLEVELAND OFF OFF 22.0 / 23.2 16.0 / 17.5 2-2 2-2 3-1-0 2-2-0 2-2-0 1-3-0 152.0 76.0 198.0 247.8 350.0 323.8 122.2 79.0 277.0 212.5 399.2 291.5 Power Rating Line The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. Power Rating Estimate Edge BUFFALO CLEVELAND -4 Team Trends and Angles All team trends listed below apply to the current game. BUFFALO - Recent ATS Trends Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Description W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L in games where the line is +3 to -3 0-1 6-9 61-63 1-0 8-8 51-81 0-1 6-10 63-70 in all games 3-1 16-19 171-168 2-2 21-15 173-177 2-2 14-22 167-185 in all lined games 3-1 16-19 171-168 2-2 21-15 173-177 2-2 14-22 167-185 as an underdog 3-1 10-13 91-92 2-2 16-8 90-99 2-2 7-17 59-131 as a road underdog of 3 points or less 0-1 0-4 11-21 1-0 3-2 13-22 0-1 0-5 10-25 in road games 0-1 5-11 82-86 1-0 10-7 84-89 0-1 3-14 67-107 in road lined games 0-1 5-11 82-86 1-0 10-7 84-89 0-1 3-14 67-107 in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points 0-1 1-3 30-26 1-0 4-0 29-27 0-1 1-3 22-35 in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points 0-1 3-4 109-99 1-0 6-1 108-108 0-1 4-3 112-105 against conference opponents 2-1 12-15 125-133 1-2 15-12 127-136 1-2 10-17 120-145 when playing on a Thursday 0-0 1-0 2-2 0-0 0-1 1-3 0-0 1-0 2-2 when playing with 6 or less days rest 2-1 13-15 133-136 2-1 18-11 142-139 2-1 12-17 134-147 against AFC North division opponents 1-0 2-1 22-22 0-1 1-2 20-25 1-0 2-1 24-21 in games played on a grass field 0-0 3-5 55-51 0-0 4-5 46-63 0-0 2-7 41-69 in October games 0-0 3-3 40-41 0-0 5-2 41-42 0-0 3-4 42-42 in weeks 5 through 9 0-0 3-4 43-43 0-0 4-4 39-50 0-0 3-5 46-44 CLEVELAND - Recent ATS Trends Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Description W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L in games where the line is +3 to -3 0-1 5-7 46-49 0-1 4-10 37-63 0-1 8-6 46-55 in all games 2-2 16-17 141-144 1-3 11-24 130-157 2-2 11-25 106-189 in all lined games 2-2 16-17 141-144 1-3 11-24 130-157 2-2 11-25 106-189 as a favorite 0-1 3-6 44-38 0-1 4-7 39-44 0-1 6-5 50-34 as a home favorite of 3 points or less 0-1 1-4 15-17 0-1 1-5 8-25 0-1 3-3 17-16 in home games 1-1 8-9 71-71 0-2 5-13 62-82 1-1 8-10 60-87 in home lined games 1-1 8-9 71-71 0-2 5-13 62-82 1-1 8-10 60-87 in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points 0-1 2-3 13-16 0-1 2-4 12-17 0-1 4-2 12-18 in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points 1-1 9-9 78-87 1-1 8-12 76-91 1-1 8-13 55-118 against conference opponents 1-2 12-13 107-111 0-3 8-19 104-115 1-2 9-18 79-146 when playing on a Thursday 0-0 2-0 4-2 0-0 0-2 2-4 0-0 0-2 2-4 when playing with 6 or less days rest 2-1 12-13 118-115 1-2 9-19 105-130 2-1 11-17 88-152 against AFC East division opponents 0-1 0-3 17-18 0-1 0-3 15-22 0-1 1-2 17-20 off a division game 1-0 6-4 60-50 1-0 3-7 57-52 1-0 3-8 44-68 in games played on a grass field 1-1 10-14 111-113 0-2 6-20 107-120 1-1 9-17 86-147 in October games 0-0 2-5 35-31 0-0 3-5 35-32 0-0 3-5 31-38 off a win against a division rival 0-0 0-1 18-17 0-0 0-2 20-15 0-0 1-1 17-19 after 2 or more consecutive wins 0-0 1-2 15-20 0-0 2-1 20-12 0-0 1-2 11-24 in weeks 5 through 9 0-0 2-6 35-38 0-0 2-7 38-36 0-0 3-6 30-46

Sunday, September 29, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines as the Undefeateds Fall

Yo this is Nicky and A & M decided to try and beat traffic, so they left Razorback stadium early, with about 10 minutes left to play, and didn’t even push a field goal across so we got beat by 2 breaking our win streak. However Arizona St. took care of business (then Lane lost his), so we ended the day in a split. Let’s try to build on the win on Sunday afternoon I like the home dog San Diego (+2) to beat the Ca’Boys. I thought the Chargers have looked good in all 3 games this season losing two of them by a combined 6 points and could easily be 3-0. Now we’ll be swimming against the stream on this one as the trends are not with us. The Chargers are a platry 1-8 ATS against non-conference opponents their last 9 games over the last 3 seasons and Dallas is 4-2 their last 6 when playing SD. This is purely a valuation play as I think there is huge value getting points at home for a team that has been within six points, either way, in every game this season. That’s the Sunday chowda’, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! I’ll be back later with the call for Monday Night. View all of Nicky's picks for the week here. DALLAS (2-1) AT SAN DIEGO (1-2) Sunday, Sep 29 2013 at 4:25 PM Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics Teams Line PF/PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY 0: DALLAS 0: SAN DIEGO OFF OFF 27.7 / 18.3 26.0 / 27.0 2-1 1-2 3-0-0 2-0-1 1-2-0 2-1-0 105.7 102.7 242.7 257.0 348.3 359.7 66.3 126.3 274.7 344.3 341.0 470.7 Power Rating Line The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated. Power Rating Estimate Edge DALLAS -3 SAN DIEGO Team Trends and Angles All team trends listed below apply to the current game. DALLAS - Recent ATS Trends Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Description W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L in games where the line is +3 to -3 2-0 7-11 47-49 0-2 9-10 51-51 1-1 7-12 51-52 in all games 3-0 14-20 170-178 1-2 15-19 171-181 2-1 18-17 202-158 in all lined games 3-0 14-20 170-178 1-2 15-19 171-181 2-1 18-17 202-158 as a favorite 2-0 7-14 111-118 1-1 11-10 110-121 2-0 15-7 161-76 as a road favorite of 3 points or less 0-0 2-1 13-16 0-0 2-2 14-17 0-0 3-1 16-15 in road games 1-0 9-7 76-95 0-1 5-11 79-94 0-1 7-10 80-96 in road lined games 1-0 9-7 76-95 0-1 5-11 79-94 0-1 7-10 80-96 in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points 0-0 3-4 13-14 0-0 0-6 10-17 0-0 3-4 14-14 in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points 3-0 12-16 60-76 1-2 11-16 67-71 2-1 17-11 80-61 when playing with 6 or less days rest 2-0 9-14 116-120 0-2 10-13 118-121 1-1 14-10 137-109 against AFC West division opponents 1-0 1-0 11-12 0-1 0-1 13-12 0-1 0-1 13-12 in games played on a grass field 1-0 5-4 50-58 0-1 4-5 55-54 0-1 5-5 51-60 in September games 3-0 5-3 38-34 1-2 3-6 37-35 2-1 6-3 45-28 in non-conference games 1-0 7-2 39-45 0-1 4-5 40-48 0-1 5-4 47-41 when playing against a team with a losing record 0-0 4-10 57-66 0-0 5-8 49-73 0-0 9-5 79-46 SAN DIEGO - Recent ATS Trends Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Description W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L in games where the line is +3 to -3 0-0 6-11 62-61 0-1 9-9 63-64 0-1 6-12 65-65 in all games 2-0 14-19 179-165 2-1 20-15 178-167 1-2 16-19 180-173 in all lined games 2-0 14-19 179-165 2-1 20-15 178-167 1-2 16-19 180-173 as an underdog 2-0 7-9 90-83 2-1 13-5 95-80 1-2 6-12 62-116 as a home underdog of 3 points or less 0-0 1-3 15-18 0-0 2-2 18-15 0-0 1-3 15-18 in home games 1-0 6-11 84-87 1-0 7-10 79-95 0-1 8-9 102-74 in home lined games 1-0 6-11 84-87 1-0 7-10 79-95 0-1 8-9 102-74 in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points 0-0 0-5 13-17 0-0 1-4 13-18 0-0 0-5 15-16 in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points 1-0 7-13 63-77 1-1 10-12 72-72 0-2 8-14 66-80 when playing with 6 or less days rest 1-0 10-12 145-127 1-1 13-11 143-130 1-1 12-12 143-137 against NFC East division opponents 1-0 1-0 13-7 1-0 1-0 13-9 1-0 1-0 14-8 in games played on a grass field 2-0 13-16 140-142 2-1 17-14 144-142 1-2 15-16 151-140 in September games 2-0 5-4 40-35 2-1 5-5 37-36 1-2 6-4 41-36 in non-conference games 1-0 1-8 40-42 1-0 5-4 51-33 1-0 2-7 39-45 when playing against a team with a winning record 0-0 3-5 71-59 0-0 6-3 57-75 0-0 3-6 63-71

Saturday, September 28, 2013

Yo, this is Nicky and we haven’t been the book maker’s friend so far this year after going 3-0 last weekend, including 2-0 in our first two college games of the year. This week has some serious bear traps so let’s keep our eyes up and get to it. On Saturday amidst the plethora of games I do see some value lurking and it’s not really in the marquis games. In the afternoon I like Texas A & M (-14 buy the hook) to beat up on a Arkansas team that is not as good as their record would suggest. I know that’s a ton of points to lay on the road in the SEC and one game does not a trend make, but wow they did not look good against a very average Rutgers team. They are also a horrible cover team, particularly in September when they are 0-8 ATS. Yes, they can score but with all the talk about Manziel what everyone is ignoring is a very good defense. True that, Bama’ put some serious ink on the stat sheet but if they had some big athletes getting loose and getting serious YACs, I think A & M will clean that up this week and get up by two scores then watch the turnover parade from the front row. That’s some chowder for tomorrow, I’ll be back with more later. Stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! View all of Nicky's Picks on the main site here. RECENT FORM TEAM SU ATS OU OFF DEF TEXA & M 3-1 3-1 3-1 50.25 30.25 ARK 3-1 1-3 2-2 28.25 16.50 SMART CHART TEXA&M TEAM ARK 50.3 PTS FOR 28.3 30.3 PTS AGNST 16.5 20.0 DIFF. 11.8 391.0 PASS YDS 151.5 211.3 RUSH YDS 246.0 257.0 PASS D 197.3 218.3 RUSH D 92.5 -0.8 TO DIFF -0.8 INJURIES TEXAS A&M PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Ricky Seals-Jones WR Out For Season (knee) ARKANSAS PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Brandon Allen QB Questionable September 28 (shoulder) Demetrius Wilson WR Out For Season (knee) BETTING TRENDS TEXAS A&M Texas A&M is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 6 games Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas A&M's last 8 games on the road ARKANSAS Arkansas is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games Arkansas is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home Arkansas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games at home HEAD TO HEAD SUMMARY TEAM SU ATS OU PTS RYDS YPR PA PC% PYDS TOTY TO Texas A&M 1-3 1-3 2-2 33.0 206.0 5.3 45.3 57.5 325.5 531.5 2.0 Arkansas 3-1 3-1 2-2 30.8 127.0 3.7 43.8 58.9 366.0 493.0 2.0 HEAD TO HEAD DETAIL DATE DAY AWAY PTS HOME PTS T/G HOMELINE ATS RY PY TY TO RY PY TY TO 09/29/2012 Sat ARK 10 TEXA&M 58 G -13/65 TEXA&M/O 142 373 515 3 218 498 716 0 10/01/2011 Sat TEXA&M 38 ARK 42 T 2½/61 ARK/O 381 247 628 2 71 510 581 0 10/09/2010 Sat TEXA&M 17 ARK 24 T -6/62 ARK/U 112 212 324 4 132 310 442 2 10/03/2009 Sat ARK 47 TEXA&M 19 G 2/67 ARK/U 163 271 434 3 113 345 458 2 TEAMS LAST 5 GAMES TEXAS A&M DATE DAY OPPONENT SCORE SU LINE ATS ORY OPY OTY DRY DPY DTY TO +/- 09/21/2013 Sat SMU 42-13 W -27.5/80.5 W/U 265 316 581 93 341 434 2 09/14/2013 Sat ALAB 42-49 L 8.5/63.0 W/O 164 464 628 234 334 568 -1 09/07/2013 Sat SAMHOU 65-28 W -35.0/77.0 W/O 214 500 714 240 150 390 1 08/31/2013 Sat RICE 52-31 W -28.0/69.5 L/O 202 284 486 306 203 509 1 01/04/2013 Fri at OKLA 41-13 W -3.0/72.0 W/U 326 307 633 123 278 401 0 ARKANSAS DATE DAY OPPONENT SCORE SU LINE ATS ORY OPY OTY DRY DPY DTY TO +/- 09/21/2013 Sat at RUTGER 24-28 L 1.0/42.5 L/O 101 182 283 54 346 400 3 09/14/2013 Sat S.MISS 24-3 W -24.0/49.5 L/U 258 69 327 119 135 254 1 09/07/2013 Sat SAMFOR 31-21 W -32.5/48.5 L/O 333 125 458 112 119 231 -2 08/31/2013 Sat UL.LAF 34-14 W -10.0/55.0 W/U 292 230 522 85 189 274 1 11/23/2012 Fri LSU 13-20 L 11.5/52.0 W/U 103 359 462 89 217 306 -2 SUPERGRID RANK RANK Texas A&M's Overall Scoring vs Arkansas's Overall Defense 50.25 6 16.50 26 Texas A&M's Road Passing vs Arkansas's Home Defense 0.00 1 147.67 20 Texas A&M's Road Rushing vs Arkansas's Home Defense 0.00 1 105.33 40 Arkansas's Overall Scoring vs Texas A&M's Overall Defense 28.25 73 30.25 90 Arkansas's Home Passing vs Texas A&M's Road Passing Defense 141.33 117 0.00 1 Arkansas's Home Rushing vs Texas A&M's Road Rushing Defense 294.33 17 0.00 1 Yo, this is Nicky and for those of you that follow my twitter page we hit our first game of the day with Oklahoma going into South Bend and handling the Irish and easily covering the -4. We’ve got an A & M still on the table who is tied at 7 early in the game so it looks like we’re going to be watching that one for a while. In the late games I like Arizona State -4 to beat USC at home. The Sun Devils hung right with a very good Wisconsin team and it’s no secret USC is not what they’ve been in prior years. The Trojans are 0-6 ATS over the last two years on the road, and 4-13 ATS in all games over the same span. The takeaway is that they’ve been living off reputation for a while now and until the lines catch up with them I’m going to be happy to take their money. That’s the Saturday chowder, I’m Nicky, back with more tomorrow, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! BETTING TRENDS SOUTHERN CAL Southern Cal is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games Southern Cal is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Cal's last 6 games The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southern Cal's last 9 games on the road Southern Cal is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road Southern Cal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road Southern Cal is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Arizona State The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Cal's last 9 games when playing Arizona State Southern Cal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona State The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southern Cal's last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona State ARIZONA STATE Arizona State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona State's last 5 games Arizona State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games at home Arizona State is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Southern Cal The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona State's last 9 games when playing Southern Cal Arizona State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Southern Cal The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona State's last 8 games when playing at home against Southern Cal

Saturday, September 21, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines During Week 3 in the NFL

Yo this is Nicky, and we broke into the NCAA season in grand fashion going 2-0 as Michigan State was only out of the cover for one possession and Stanford was over mid-way through the first quarter so we were cracking them open early yesterday so let’s try to keep the momentum going into Sunday. On Sunday morning I like under (44.5) in the Pats/Bucs game. I was first looking at the Pats in a straight cover as they’re Tampa is 1-7 in their last 8 games and New England is 12-2 in their last 14, but with no Gronk and no Amendola I don’t know how they plan on scoring, similar to the 2nd half against Buffalo, where they only put six points on the board. For such a high powered offense that runs a ton of plays they only average 18 points a game and against a Tough Tampa Bay Defense they may get less than that. Ironically Tampa may be more anemic at 15 points per game and a very questionable quarterback who is going up against, once again, a very good Bill Belichick defense. I looked at this and wondered how they came up with 44 point total and if it was a bear trap, but these are teams that don’t turn the ball over (Tampa has a 0 difference and the Pats -1.5) so I don’t look for a lot of easy scores. I think this one is another good teaser if you can find something to pair it with but I like it on it’s own. That’s the Sunday chowda’ I’m Nicky, looking to go 3-0 for the weekend, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! RECENT FORM TEAM SU ATS OU OFF DEF Tampa Bay 0-2 1-1 0-2 15.50 17.00 New England 2-0 0-2 0-2 18.00 15.50 SMART CHART TB TEAM NE 15.5 PTS FOR 18.0 17.0 PTS AGNST 15.5 -1.5 DIFF. 2.5 149.0 PASS YDS 225.5 112.5 RUSH YDS 106.0 255.0 PASS D 169.5 82.5 RUSH D 132.5 0.0 TO DIFF -1.5 INJURIES TAMPA BAY PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Michael Adams CB Out Week 3 (knee) Gabe Carimi G Out Week 3 (illness) Derek Landri DT Out Week 3 (knee) Tom Crabtree TE Questionable Week 3 (ankle) Rashaan Melvin CB Questionable Week 3 (hamstring) Carl Nicks G Questionable Week 3 (foot) Luke Stocker TE Questionable Week 3 (hip) Adrian Clayborn DE Probable Week 3 (hip) Mason Foster LB Probable Week 3 (toe) NEW ENGLAND PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Matt Slater WR Out Week 3 (wrist) Danny Amendola WR Doubtful Week 3 (groin) Brandon Bolden RB Questionable Week 3 (knee) Dan Connolly G Questionable Week 3 (finger) Nate Ebner S Questionable Week 3 (ankle) Rob Gronkowski TE Questionable Week 3 (back, forearm) Will Svitek T Questionable Week 3 (knee) Leon Washington RB Questionable Week 3 (thigh) Zach Sudfeld TE Probable Week 3 (hamstring) BETTING TRENDS TAMPA BAY Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games Tampa Bay is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games Tampa Bay is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing New England Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England NEW ENGLAND The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games The total has gone OVER in 12 of New England's last 18 games New England is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games New England is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 10 games at home New England is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay New England is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

Friday, September 20, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines In College Football

Yo this is Nicky and we’re ready to step into the fray that is college football for the first time in the season. We gave one back last Sunday as the Chargers got a late field goal to beat the Eagles, but we were begging anyway as we would have needed a first drive td to cover our spread and Philly didn’t seem to sniff the end zone all day so that wouldn’t have happened. So, let’s get into the mix on Saturday and get it back. On Saturday I like two games, which also make a great 7-point teaser if you want to put them together. In the morning games I like Michigan State (+6.5 buy it if you don’t get it) to hang tough with Notre Dame. We’re to the point of the season where the numbers start to matter and the Spartans dominate almost every category except for passing yards per game, and their defense doesn’t give up much per game. For you quants, Michigan State is 6-2 it’s last 8 at South Bend and 5-1 it’s last 6 on the road. Conversely, the Irish are 1-5 ATS their last 5 games so I’m feeling Evergreen. That’s the early morning chowda’ back with the late games in a little bit. Catch more picks on the main site here, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH 3-0 September 21, 3:30 PM | Grass of Notre Dame Stadium 2-1 RECENT FORM TEAM SU ATS OU OFF DEF MICHST 3-0 1-2 1-2 34.00 12.00 NOTRD 2-1 0-3 2-1 29.67 23.67 SMART CHART MICHST TEAM NOTRD 34.0 PTS FOR 29.7 12.0 PTS AGNST 23.7 22.0 DIFF. 6.0 160.0 PASS YDS 326.0 209.7 RUSH YDS 125.0 126.7 PASS D 259.3 52.0 RUSH D 112.7 -1.3 TO DIFF 0.0 INJURIES MICHIGAN STATE PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION No Injuries to report. NOTRE DAME PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Nicky Baratti S Out For Season (shoulder) Everett Golson QB Out For Season (academics) Danny Spond LB Out For Season (head) BETTING TRENDS MICHIGAN STATE Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 6 games Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 6 of Michigan State's last 9 games when playing Notre Dame Michigan State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame NOTRE DAME Notre Dame is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games Notre Dame is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Notre Dame's last 19 games The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Notre Dame's last 10 games at home Notre Dame is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home Notre Dame is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home Notre Dame is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Michigan State The total has gone OVER in 6 of Notre Dame's last 9 games when playing Michigan State Notre Dame is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Michigan State Notre Dame is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Michigan State In the afternoon games I like Stanford (-6.5 buy that hook) to hold serve against Arizona State. Stanford is 5-0 in its last five games, also 5-0 at home. Now they do struggle against Arizona State 1-3-1 ATS their last 5, but have covered as a top 10 school. This one will be close but don’t look for a ton of field goals in this game and one score could be the cover. If you think Stanford will win the game then you gotta’ lay that lumber. That’s the afternoon chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! ARIZONA STATE SUN DEVILS STANFORD CARDINAL 2-0 September 21, 7:00 PM | Grass of Stanford Stadium 2-0 RECENT FORM TEAM SU ATS OU OFF DEF ARIZST 2-0 1-1 2-0 43.50 15.00 STANFO 2-0 0-2 1-1 34.00 16.50 SMART CHART ARIZST TEAM STANFO 43.5 PTS FOR 34.0 15.0 PTS AGNST 16.5 28.5 DIFF. 17.5 358.5 PASS YDS 206.0 137.0 RUSH YDS 200.0 163.0 PASS D 132.5 141.0 RUSH D 159.5 -1.5 TO DIFF 0.5 INJURIES ARIZONA STATE PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION No Injuries to report. STANFORD PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Henry Anderson DL Out Indefinitely (leg) BETTING TRENDS ARIZONA STATE Arizona State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games Arizona State is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road Arizona State is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona State's last 10 games on the road Arizona State is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Stanford The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games when playing Stanford Arizona State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Stanford Arizona State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Stanford STANFORD Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games Stanford is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home Stanford is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona State The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 5 games when playing Arizona State Stanford is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona State

Sunday, September 15, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on Sunday morning in week 2

Yo this is Nicky and after the Cards kept it close last week bringing us to went 2-0 on the young seaon. We’ll get more aggressive once the season gets it’s legs underneath it but for now it’s one a day until we can accurate gauge real value so let’s get to it. On Sunday in the early games I like the Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5 buy the hook) to handle the San Diego Chargers at home. I realize the Chargers are coming off that incredibly disappointing loss at home on Monday Night to start the season but on a short week, flying across country, to take on a high-octane offense like Philly whose timing might even be better after a week on scrimmage against Washington. I don’t think the SuperChargers are going to be able to adapt to the style and pace in the game and keep in within a touchdown. For you quants, the Chargers are 0-8 in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons, and Philly is 16-6 ATS in home games after playing on Monday Night Football since 1992. That’s the Sunday bowl of chowda’, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, September 8, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on Opening Sunday

Yo this is Nicky and we’re 1-0 on the young season after the Broncos and Ravens easily went over the total for us on Thursday so let’s get back into the mix on Sunday afternoon. In the late games on the first full Sunday in the NFL I like the Arizona Cardinals (+4.5 buy the hook) to go into St. Louis and cover. It’s so early in the season but we’ve already seen in the early games that not many clubs are who we thought they were coming out of the pre-season so this will purely be a numbers play. The Cards are 7-1 straight up it’s last 8 games when playing on the road against the Rams. On the other side the rams are 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona. I know the Cards haven’t won on the road in an age but we just need them to keep it within a field goal and I think they will do that if not win it on the field. That’s the Sunday chowda’ let’s check back on Monday.

Thursday, September 5, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on Opening Day

Yo, This is Nicky and let me be the first to wish everyone a happy new year! I know we’ve been dabbling here and there when we saw value but now its time to put on the hard hat, grab the lunch pail, and going to work as it’s football time! In the season opener you’ve got all kinds of story lines from the revenge factor, to postergate, to Dumberville coming home, etc. The defending champs may come out flat or walk into a buzzsaw of a crowd thinking this is the 6th overtime period from last year and react like a victory brings the Patriots to Mile High for the AFC Championship game. In any case this one is really tough to call and I suppose if someone put a gun to my head and made me pick the number I would probably lay the seven points but there is a better way to play this one and it’s the total. At 49 this looks like it has a good shot of going over. That vaunted Ravens starting defense hasn’t been on the field together very much during the pre-season and the hurry up offense of Denver, along with the altitude, should make for some big opportunities for Peyton and I look for them to score a lot. Conversely, the Ravens should also be able to run on the Broncos I like this game to go over the bar. That’s the chowder on opening day, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Monday, August 5, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in MLB

Yo, this is Nicky and I’m back in the saddle after a short break and ready to take you the rest of the way through the World Series. We were on quite the tear before we took a break so let’s see if we can pick up where we left off. On Monday night the train finally comes into the station for the LA Dodgers. Their freight train has been rolling for quite some time, particularly on the road, but the 14 game road win streak comes to an end tonight against Adam Wainwright and the Cardinals. The Dodgers have been the hottest team in the NL and take out the Rays, the best in baseball but with Hanley out of the lineup I don’t think they’re going to get enough offense to beat the division leaders. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, July 9, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in MLB on a Tuesday Night

Yo, this is Nicky and we’ve really been tearing it up in MLB lately winning 3 straight games including a Texas lighting some fireworks for us on July 4th to help us towards financial independence. There’s some good value on the board but we only go with our best pick so lets get to it. In the evening games I like the Reds (-135) to come back after a heartbreaking loss to beat the last place Brewers. I love an unbeaten Cingrani (3-0) on the bump for the Reds and quite frankly I think this is minor juice to lay to bet against a .409 club winning two straight games against a team playing .562 ball. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! CINCINNATI (50 - 39) at MILWAUKEE (36 - 52) - 8:10 PM TONY CINGRANI (L) vs. WILY PERALTA (R) Top Trends for this game. MILWAUKEE is 26-17 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 149-107 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 635-708 (+55.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. CINCINNATI is 304-328 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. CINCINNATI is 149-107 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 415-458 (+38.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. CINCINNATI is 458-511 (+43.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997. CINCINNATI is 66-39 (+21.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 87-49 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. CINCINNATI is 198-162 (+43.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. MILWAUKEE is 36-52 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. MILWAUKEE is 3-12 (-11.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. MILWAUKEE is 1-9 (-10.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. MILWAUKEE is 13-25 (-12.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. MILWAUKEE is 36-52 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. MILWAUKEE is 8-22 (-16.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season. Head-to-Head Series History CINCINNATI is 5-2 (+2.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season 6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.8 Units) TONY CINGRANI vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997 CINGRANI is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.750. His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units) WILY PERALTA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997 PERALTA is 0-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.140. His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

Thursday, July 4, 2013

Getting A Little Financial Independence of the 4th of July

Yo, this is Nicky and if you’ve been following the twitter or blog feeds then you’ve seen that we’ve had a good run, hitting our last two with the Mets taking game 1 of their series with the DBacks and the Dodgers hitting double digits in runs for the first time this season against the Rockies. I’d like to provide you with a little financial independence (at the expense of your sports book) on Independence Day so let’s get to it. The Rangers are on the verge of losing 3 straight to Seattle, a club that they have just dominated at home over their last 25 games going 18-7. I can’t see them getting swept particularly after assuming their first night out of first place was not a pleasant sleep. It’s going to be a tough pitching matchup but I think Perez will get keep it close so they can get to that Seattle bull pin. That’s a bowl of Holiday Chowda for ya, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! Pro Baseball Trend Report SEATTLE (37 - 47) at TEXAS (48 - 36) - 8:05 PM HISASHI IWAKUMA (R) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L) Top Trends for this game. TEXAS is 111-64 (+29.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. IWAKUMA is 21-12 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) IWAKUMA is 20-11 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) IWAKUMA is 14-5 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) TEXAS is 9-16 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. Head-to-Head Series History TEXAS is 7-5 (+0.8 Units) against SEATTLE this season 6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units) HISASHI IWAKUMA vs. TEXAS since 1997 IWAKUMA is 2-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.094. His team's record is 3-2 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.2 units) MARTIN PEREZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997 PEREZ is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 2.000. His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

Thursday, June 20, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in Game 7

Yo, this is Nicky and it’s time to buckle up for a ballistic game 7. We hit the Game 6 call but needed some serious love from RayRay and a collapse by the Spurs to get there, and even with all of that had we not teased the Heat down to a bucket we would have lost. However never forget some of the backdoor beats we’ve taken over the last year when we’ve made the right call in principal, only to have a freak play(s) take the money out of our pocket so at the end of the day if you’re cashin’ a ticket, you made the right call so let’s get to it. In game 7 I’m going to stick with the same strategy and tease the numbers to work in our favor. I’m going to tease the Spurs up to 10.5 and tease the over down to 184. I know we’ve got some overtime help with the last one, but that is four games in a row that have gone over and I think with the vets in this game they will shoot well and we’ll see some high numbers. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

Pulling Double Duty Behind Enemy Lines - NBA and MLB

Yo This is Nicky and we’re pullin’ double duty tonight as we’ve got an all important game 6 in the NBA Finals and some good value on the baseball diamond as well so let’s get to it. In the NBA I’ve learned my lesson and taken my hits trying to go against the trend but at this point my hand has been burned too many times and I’m taking it out of the fire. I’m not going to bet against the Heat despite the fact that seven points is a ton of lumber in a game like this because Pop is known for sitting his players when he believes the battle has been lost but the war can still be won. Just the same I’m going to try and use a little leverage as over the last three games the total has consistently increased from 190 to 202 to 218 in game 5. I think a total of (192) is doable but I like teasing it down to (187) and pair it with the Heat (down to -2) and play the fact that they’ve never lost two games in a row. I know we don’t normally play teasers outside of football but I see some good value in this one. That’s the NBA chowda’, stay tuned for a little baseball as well. On the diamond I like the Tampa Bay Rays (+115) to take game two of the double header at Boston. After a long 3-hour rain delay that all but emptied out Fenway Park the Sox won an easy 5-1 game but I think the odds are with the Rays in game two with Hellickson (4-3) on the bump against Dempster (4-7). The Rays have lost two straight coming in and play better than .500 ball on the season, moreover the pct chance of a sweep by the Sox is below 30% so I’m going to make a straight numbers play. There’s a bowl of Boston Clam to eat while you’re watching the game. Stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, June 13, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Finals

Yo, This is Nicky and we’ve hit all three of our NBA Finals plays to this point including taking the Spurs in game 3, who made it very easy for us, so let’s keep the mo’ going into a crucial game 4. The statistic everyone is focusing on is 3-1, as no team in the Finals has made it back from that kind of deficit so the Heat is up against it I don’t know if they have enough to power through and take a tough game on the road but I think it will be close and I don’t expect the Spurs to shoot as well as they did in game when they set the record to made 3’s in a Finals game. Therefore I like the under (187, buy the hook) and expect a tightly contested, defensive game. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, June 11, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Finals for Game 3

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re in the heat (no pun intended) of the NBA Finals. We decided to lay the under in game 1 which came through for us and as the series shifts back to San Antonio for game 3 we’re ready to get back into the trenches so let’s get to it. In game 3 I like the Spurs (-1.5 buy that hook!) to hold serve at home. This one will be highly contested as both teams are well aware that over the last 13 times a series was tied at 1, the winner of game 3 has won the NBA Title 92% of the time, with the only aberration being the Heat in 2011. I know the Heat had a great run that was a prototype on how to beat the Spurs but duplicating that feat and having SA commit so many turnovers again is highly unlikely. The Spurs are a great home team and their crowd hasn’t seen them play in almost 3 weeks. It will be a ruckus crowd and I look for them to shoot very well and force the Heat supporting cast to do so as well. Other than RayRay I don’t see that happening and LBJ looking frustrated come q4. That’s the chowda’, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, June 6, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Finals

Yo this is Nicky and we’ve reached the finals of the NBA season. The first two rounds were pretty easy to call but things certainly got a little tougher in the conference finals and I’m sure the NBA Finals won’t be any easier but that’s why we get paid the big bucks so let’s get to it. Playing game one is like diving into the pool before you test it out, it may be nice an warm or sting like knives all the way in. The Spurs have looked like the best team in the NBA after those first two games with Golden State, while the Heat have looked like the a team that survived the brutal Eastern Conference gauntlet to the finals. They look worn, injured, and in need of a break but they also realize their so close to their goal and getting another monkey off their back. Conversely, this ain’t the Spurs first rodeo either, particularly their Big-3 so this one should be close and I don’t know who’s going to get out first so I’m going to play on the fact that the Heat have only allowed 100 points to an opponent once in these playoffs and I don’t expect the Heat to run up and down the floor so I like the Under (191) to get a tow in the pool and then see how things look for game 2. That’s the chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, May 30, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in a Tense Game 5

Yo This Is Nicky and the heat is on, no pun intended, in the Eastern Conference Finals as the all important game 5 is upon us. Every player, or sports enthusiast for that matter knows the stat that 86% of the winners of game 5 have gone on to win the series, so both teams this could be a winner take all. I know how much experience means in a game like this but I also know the Pacers basically won the first two games in Miami and if not for an LBJ layup with .09 this would be a closeout opportunity for the Pacers. In the end, 8 points of lumber might be too much in a game of this intensity so I like Indiana plus 8 big points. That’s the evening chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, May 5, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in MLB

Yo this is Nicky and we’re going to shift gears away from the NBA playoffs to the diamond as I see some good value on Sunday evening. I like the Dodgers (+103) to avoid getting swept by the Giants up at AT & T Park. Games 1 & 2 were won by Giant “Walk Offs” in the 9th and 10th respectively and the Dodgers have more than enough motivation to make sure they have some breathing room come the late innings. Moreover I love Ryu (3-1) on the bump for LA. This guy and sling it and should be 4-0 but the normally dependable Dodger relief staff couldn’t hold a lead for him. I know they’re a little short handed with Hanley going back on the DL but I like them to salvage one of the three games tonight. That’s the last of the Weekend Chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, April 27, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Playoffs

Yo, this is Nicky and Golden State made it easy on us to bring our record to 15-10 over the last month. We’ve had a pretty good feel for the NBA so let’s stick with it. In the late game on Saturday I like the Rockets -1 (I don’t call them the Rockettes when I got money on em’!) to beat the Thunda’ at home. Before you even try to retort with the “team will rally behind their fall player”, “win one for the Gipper”, stuff. OKC would have already been in trouble in this one to begin with as Houston shoots exceptionally well at home and had the potential to win this even before Westbrook went down. Why? The Rockets strength is at guard and that’s where the Tunda’ will be woefully short, throw in Martin defecting to OKC, Harden being sent packing, a ruckus Houston crown welcoming their first playoff home game, it’s a recipe for a cover. That’s the weekend chowda’, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Thursday, April 25, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Playoffs

Yo, This is Nicky and we’ve been on the sidelines waiting for the playoffs to begin on the main site although if you’ve been following us on twitter or the blog you know we’ve gone 14-10-1 over the last 25, but now’s the for us to check into the game and there is some good value on the board so let’s get to it. On Thursday night, I like Memphis Grizzlies (-4 buy the hook) at home against the Clipps in a ‘must win’ situation. Memphis had huge hopes for this season, expectations that they haven’t lived up to and they know if they lose game 3 the season is over. LA is 3-6 ATS their last 9 games on the road and I look for them to get hammered on the boards in this one dramatically slowing down Lob City. That’s the NBA playoff chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Monday, March 11, 2013

Yo, this is Nicky and although there were some nervous moments in the final seconds, the Celtics got the game into overtime and then pulled out our cover to run our streak to four straight games. Now we’re playing with house money so let’s keep the mo’ going in the new week. On Monday I like OKC (+2 buy the hook) to go on the road and beat the Spurs minus Tony Parker. I understand the Spurs are a system team, and many of the players are interchangeable parts, but when you’re talking about the top three/four teams in the Association any step back provides the space necessary to hit the deep ball, and I think the Thunda’ will tonight as I look for Westbrook to run free as he won’t have as much to think about on the defensive end of the floor, so look for OKC to run the old men of the Spurs into the ground come q4 and then hold on for a big win to tie for best record in the West. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Friday, March 8, 2013

behind enemy lines in the nba

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re really starting to measure up the NBA with another win (4th straight) as the Nuggets easily covered the 3.5 vs the Clipps at home, now we’re looking to keep the momentum going strong going into the weekend. On Friday night I like Boston (-3.5) at home to beat a really beaten up Atlanta team. The Hawks have three major players out due to illness and their going against Boston whom no looks like they can even claim the 4th spot in the East. They’re 13-4 since Rondo went down with the knee injury, including 5 of their last 6 one of the hottest team in the NBA. The Hawks have not done well in Beantown going 0-5 their last 5 trips. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, March 7, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re coming off of three straight wins and you have to figure the Hoop Gods are smiling on us as the Lakers came back from the depths of the abyss to not only win but cover that 2.5 as well. We’re still in the NBA and looking for value each night. Tonight I see the typical back to back but with a bonus of a team with really nothing to gain in the Clippers as they’re not going to catch the Thunda’ for the 2nd seed and won’t be caught by the Grizzlies for the 3rd so I can’t see them getting much more out of this than staying healthy, and if they get down I look for them to go down big. I like the Nuggets (-3 buy the hook) to beat the Clipp Joint at home, where they are tied for the best record in the NBA at 26-3 (5-0 their last five). The Clipps are on a back-to-back and 2-10 their last 12 against Denver. That’s the evening bowl of chowda’ I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS DENVER NUGGETS 44-19 March 7, 10:30 PM | of Pepsi Center 40-22 RECENT FORM TEAM SU ATS OFF DEF DIFF LA Clippers 44-19 36-27 100.8 94.1 6.7 Denver 40-22 37-25 105.7 101.8 4.0 TEAM ATS HOME ATS AWAY OU OU HOME OU AWAY LA Clippers 19-12 17-15 34-29 19-12 15-17 Denver 20-9 17-16 38-24 16-13 22-11 SMART CHART LAC TEAM DEN 100.8 PTS FOR 105.7 94.1 PTS AGNST 101.8 6.7 DIFF. 4.0 30.2 DEF. REBOUNDS 31.7 11.5 OFF. REBOUNDS 13.4 47.6 FG% 47.6 70.6 FT% 68.9 7.4 3 POINTERS 6.5 9.9 STEALS 9.1 INJURIES LOS ANGELES PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION Trey Thompkins F Out Indefinitely (knee) DENVER PLAYER POS DESCRIPTION No Injuries to report. BETTING TRENDS LOS ANGELES LA Clippers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road LA Clippers are 8-15 SU in their last 23 games when playing Denver LA Clippers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Denver The total has gone UNDER in 9 of the LA Clippers last 13 games when playing Denver LA Clippers are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Denver DENVER The total has gone OVER in 19 of Denver's last 24 games Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 11 of Denver's last 14 games at home Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 13 games when playing LA Clippers Denver is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Clippers Denver is 15-8 SU in their last 23 games when playing LA Clippers Denver is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games when playing LA Clippers Denver is 10-2 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against LA Clippers Denver is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Monday, March 4, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA

Yo, this Nicky and we in the heat of the NBA playoff push where we normally see some good value. Particularly when we see teams in need of a playoff win going up against a club playing for lottery position. We’ve got that tonight as the Warriors are host the Raptors, where I’m going to lay the light lumber and take the Warriors (-6). This could also be labeled the battle of the 0-4s as both clubs have lost four straight games. GS really needs to back into the win column to halt a skin that includes going 3-7 and has seen their hold on the number 6 seed drop to .5. On the positive side Golden State has won their last 5 against Toronto at home, 6-1 last 7. That’s the NBA chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, January 6, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on a Wild Card Sunday

Yo this is Nicky and we split Wild Card Saturday after dropping the Bengals by a half-point and frankly we were lucky to get that close as that was the ostentatious display of anemic offense I’ve ever seen, all -6 first half passing yards included. Conversely, the Pack was so easy I actually fell asleep at half as the Vikings were never in it, even when they were up 3-0 they weren’t in the game. So we lost the vig on Saturday but I see some value on Sunday so let’s get to it. In the early game I like the Colts +7.5 (buy the hook) to hang with struggling Ravens. I think the Luck learning cure is steep and he’s not playing like a rookie any more. If he doesn’t make a game changing mistake in the form of Pick-6s they’re defense is more that capable of shutting down Joe Flacco. I think the Ravens will have a tough time scoring in this one and the ghost of playoff games past, mainly last year, will raise its ugly head. This one will be close, so I like the lumber and look for the amazing Indy karma and momentum to possibly win this one on the field. That’s the morning cup o’ chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, January 5, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on Wildcard Saturday

In the second game I like the Packers -10 to hold serve against the Vikings. Christian Ponder was a late scratch and now it’s Joe Webb at the helm which does make Green Bay have to re-scheme defensively but other than that all of the advantage goes to the Pack as the combination of a quarterback that hasn’t thrown a pass all season going to the Tundra, outdoors, in Winter, in the playoffs, adds up to a big GB win. That’s the late Saturday chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! Yo this is Nicky and although the playoffs can sometimes be unpredictable, it’s also the time of year where we should picking the best as we have 18 weeks of data to analyze. I know sometimes we have to throw the records out the window but in the playoffs but team trends continue. On Wildcard Saturday morning I like the Bengals +5 buy the hook to keep it close against the Texans. The Bengals who have won 7 of their last 8 games, never allowing 21 points during that stretch and playing their best ball of the season, while the Texans have lost 3 of their last 4 giving up over 21 points in all of them. Schaub may have had his confidence shaken and has been a shell of the QB that at one point was 12-1. The crowd will be behind them but this one will be close I like the number. That’s the early game chowder, back with the late game soon.

Tuesday, January 1, 2013

Behind Enemy Lines on New Year's Day

Yo, this is Nicky back on New Year’s Day and we’re coming off a big win with the Georgia Bulldogs in the Cap One Bowl so we’re looking to keep the Mo’ going as move on to the afternoon games. In the Granddaddy I like Stanford (-3 buy the hook) to beat the coachless Wisconsin Badgers. No doubt Barry Alvarez was once a great champion and his teams pulled off some memorable wins in Pasadena but this isn’t his team, his players, or his style. The AD coming out of the cush office seat to the front lines of a BCS Bowl doesn’t sound like a comeback, more like desperation. Stanford still isn’t getting any respect for some reason but these guys can play particularly on defense and I look for the Badgers to struggle big time. That’s the afternoon chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!
12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.