Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Finals

Yo this is Nicky and after six straight wins in the NBA playoffs it would be easy to call it a post season but this is where we separate the men from the boys and what’s the point of the Finals if you don’t jump into the fray, so let’s get to it. In Game 1 I like the Heat (-4 buy it down) to beat the Mavericks and jump out to an early series lead. Dallas has taken control of every series thus far but they’ve shot really well in those openers and even in LA they had played just a few weeks earlier. Only one visit to Miami this season will diminish how effective they are from outside the arch and without the aid of the 3 Dirk will have a real rough time inside. On the quant side, Miami is 5-0 at home their last 5 but 0-5 straight up vs. Dallas, so we’re going against the grain but that’s the way we’ve rolled the entire playoffs and it’s worked for us so far.

For the series there just isn’t enough value for Miami at (-175) obviously the question is can Bosh stay with Dirk and can LeBron stop in in the 4th quarter if they switch up at the six minute mark during crunch time. If either of the answers is ‘yes’ then this will be over in five, otherwise pass the beernuts because this could go deep. In any case there is not enough data available to make an educated decision and at almost 1-2 odds we’ll get more value playing individual games. That’s the NBA Finals chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Don't forget to view all of the latest NBA Finals series and prop bets here.

See the top highlights of the week with Smacchat Videos on Demand

No comments:

12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.