Sunday, January 23, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines on Championship Sunday

Yo, this is Nicky and we took a touch loss last week to de-real an almost perfect NFL post season but we still went 3-1 for the weekend and there are 3 more to go so let’s get to it. In the early game I’m going to take the road dog in the early game and buy the pack down to -3.5 and play for a 21-17 type game. I know it’s tough to win three consecutive road games but it’s also important to ride into the playoffs with the right momentum and the Packers have had to play 4 straight playoff games in that regard and have answered the call in all of them. AR is playing as well as any QB still left in the tournament and the Packers are no strangers to the cold weather. I will break out some stats for this one as it is their third matchup of the season. Although Chicago is 8-2 over their last 10 they’re 2-4 when playing the Pack and 4-13 vs. the Pack at Soldier Field. That’s the early game chowder, I’m Nicky, back with the AFC Championship in a bit.

In the Late Game I’m going to go the other way and finally see a home team (Steelers -3, buy the hook) finally take care of business against a team they should beat in these playoffs. Pittsburgh has been waiting for this day for quite some time and the added momentum of only having to beat a Jets team at home as opposed to going on the road at New England should provide the added mo’ necessary. The Steelers are 7-1 in their last 8 games (4-1 at home) and they will be the one team that takes advantage of the hard work they put in all season to earn the privilege. That’s the Championship Day chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring, and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, January 16, 2011

Behind Ememy Lines on Sunday in the Divisonal Playoffs

Yo, this is Nicky and we went 2-0 yesterday to raise our playoff record to 5-1. At this point if you’re playing even units we can’t end up with a negative balance so we’re playing with house money. Now let’s be smart and not bleed any profits and see things for how they are. On Sunday we’re dealing with huge lumber in both games so don’t forget to look at weather and injuries. There is no need to aggrandize or over analyze the games so I’m going to lay the lumber in both, and buy the hooks take them down to 9.5 and play both the Bears and the Pats to hold serve against teams they have both beaten earlier in the season. In the NFC I think the Hawks shot their wod and have already lived up to expectations in winning one playoff game. At 7-9 they were on borrowed time to begin with but on the road, in the elements, in a hostile Solider Field, I’m going to live n’ die with Crazy Jay Cutler and hope he can make more plays than he gives away.

In the AFC I’m think that Sexy Rexy’s trash talk is going to catch up with him and his club and the Jets will become victim number 9 at home for the Pats this season. The Jets won the first meeting after being down in the first half then shut out the Pats in the second half to get the victory. New England has played only 4 quarters of bad football since that 1st half and I am as surprised as the next guy that they still can move the ball with no deep treat , but they and are actually better without Randy than with him. And I will take that bet, Tom Brady against a warm weather, rookie, QB in Mark Sanchez out in the elements with that Pats D that has been getting better each week. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, saying stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, January 15, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NFL Divisonal Playoffs

Yo this is Nicky and at this point you should pretty much have my page bookmarked on your computer the way we’re rollin’ right now. We need to follow up a 3-1 NFL weekend and 1-0 NCAA hoops week, so let’s get to it. It’s time to separate the men from the boyz and the girls from the women as it’s the Divisional playoffs, an although the games are the most intense of the season, that’s what works to our advantage in regards to the betting lines, good time to dust off that teaser strategy to leverage how accurately the odds makers are at this point in the season. Ok, in the early game on Saturday I’m staying at home and taking the Steelers down to 2.5 by buying the hook and play them to hold serve at home. I normally don’t look at season stats when it comes to the playoffs but when team play each other for the third time then patterns have already formed, and Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS their last 6 against the Ravens, and 5-2 straight up. Look for Ben to keep the Mo’ going and a rested Pittsburgh team to wear down the Ravens come 4th quarter. That’s the early morning chowder’ I’m Nicky, back with the late game shortly.

Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in NCAA Hoops

Yo, this is Nicky and we have been riding a wave of success in both the NCAA and NFL football since the end of 2010 but the gridiron and the hardwood are two totally different things. I figured I had to check into the game sooner or later and there is something that looks really attractive on the board. I love the Iowa State Hawkeyes (+9.5) hosting the undefeated Kansas Jayhawks. That is just a ton of lumber and with the students coming back this week that is going to be a fervent and difficult place to win, and IState would have been a tough out to begin with at 13-3. There are no injuries of note to ether club to talk me off of this so take it and bid it. That’s the surprise mid-week chowder, I’m Nicky, saying stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Monday, January 10, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NCG

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re coming off a 3-1 NFL playoff weekend and we’ve won our last four bowl picks so we’re riding a wave of mo’ into the title game so let’s finish up our biznis’ college football. In the last game of the season the BCS Title Game, where these two teams have enough offense to score 100 each, I am going to assume that with 37 days to prepare that the defenses will be ready and you will not get the 40-37 that many are expecting so I am going to take the points and the Oregon Ducks (+3.5 buy the hook). I’m not sure what book ESPN places through but I have not seen an EVEN line anywhere. In that regard, these teams play pretty close to even and even though field goals are supposed to be like extra points in this one, I think getting more than 3 will be huge. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring, and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, January 9, 2011

Behind Ememy Lines during Wild Card Weekend

Yo this is Nicky and after the Ravens took care of biznis’ as expected to run our playoff record to 2-1 and now we have the toughest of all the wild card games to try and close out the weekend at .750 so let’s get to it. I’ve oscilated quite a bit on this one and in the end the two factors that tipped the scale were the uncertainty of Vick’s hammy, which I don’t believe could heal in a week (last week he could not go), and the Eagles home record which is the worst on any team in the playoffs this year at 4-4. Tack on the Packers pass rush that may keep Vick in check and I’m going to take the Packers (+3.5 buy the hook) and enjoy a very close game. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, January 8, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NFL playoffs

Yo this is Nicky, coming off another bowl victory running our winning streak to six straight and now it’s time to take on the NFL playoffs with four wild card games over the weekend. Now that we’re in ‘championship season’ there is not picking n’ choosin’ our games we just got to step into the ring and win more than we lose so let’s get to it.

On Saturday the first game I am NOT going to take the bait or buy into the upset propaganda that the SeaChickens have a shot of winning this game, but I am always afraid of the backdoor cover when laying that much lumber, just the same I’m taking the Saints (-10 buy the hook, or the point depending when you got in). I understand that all stats go out the window come playoff time but the Saints are 5-1 their last six games on the road and Seattle is not a good home cover team at 2-5 ATS, and quite frankly the Saints dominate in every statistical category.

In the late game on Saturday Night I like another road team as I’m going to take the Jets (+3.5 buy that hook for yourself) to go into Indy against a very beaten up Colts team and get a win to set up a rematch with the Pats. It’s hard not to make this out to be a Peyton vs. Sanchez matchup but if it is, then Peyton has one arm tied behind his back as his favorite receivers will be wearing as many pads as I will and that will make the difference. The Jets can run the ball and their shut down corners will make Peyton’s job even more difficult. That’s the late game chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Sunday, January 2, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the last week of the season

Yo, this is Nicky back for more as this is almost getting to easy. At this pace we’ll pay for all of our holiday expenses by next week. After going 2-0 on New Year’s Day with OU and Wisconsin, were 5-0 over the last five picks and I there seems to be more value on the board Sunday so let’s get to it. Firstly, you gotta stay away from the teams that may be resting starters come 2nd half (ie; Pats , Chiefs) if you’re needing a cover, conversely this may be catalyst to an easy win if you get that combination of a team that needs to win vs. a team that has already clinched all that they need. With that in mind I love Green Bay (-9.5 buy the hook) against the Bears as Lovie Smith has already stated that he doesn’t expect his starters to be in for the entire game and the Pack need a win to get into the post season. You can throw the quantitative analysis and trends out the window as the players involved will not be the same as normal. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Saturday, January 1, 2011

New Yedar's Day Chowder

Yo, how hot are we right now? Coming off another win as the Badgers kept it close enough and in the end it was probably better that they didn’t hit the two point conversion. Anyway this freight train can’t be stopped so let’s keep it rollin’. In the Orange Bowl I can’t imagine more of a miss-match than what we see in this game. If not for the automatic bid this team would have been playing around Thanksgiving not on New Year’s Day. Anyway play the Sooners (-14.5)to dominate the Huskies for 4 quarters, represent in the last bowl game for the Big-12 possibly ever. That’s the late evening chowder, and when you speak of me, speak of me well.

Yo, this is Nicky and there is so polite way to say this other than we are simply kickin’ arse and takin’ names right now after another win with Oklahoma State easily disposing of Arizona to keep our streak going. Now on New Year’s Day things get a little tougher to call but let’s get to our games. In the Rose Bowl I like Wisconsin (+3.5 buy the hook) against TCU. The Frogs have talent at the skill positions there’s no doubt about that but the Badgers are simply too big up front and should be able to control the line of scrimmage, run the ball at will, and control the clock. This should keep that TCU off balance and off the field and keep this game very close if not win it on the field. That’s the mid-day chowder, back with one more game later on, stay in the ring, and keep your glove’s up!
12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.