Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Time to go bowlin'

Yo, this is Nicky and I’m back at the helm after the Holiday break and now it’s time to jump into bowl season with both feet. Some of the early bowls are really tough to call as you don’t know which school is really focused on WINNING the game and what which one is just happy to be there. Who’s missing curfew, who’s going site seeing, etc. it’s almost impossible to tell unless you’re traveling with the team so I only stick to the games where you know the makeup of the schools involved. That said the tradition of Longhorns and the familiarity of the Cal Bears with the Holiday Bowl, which is played in So Cal, makes for a good opportunity so let’s get to it. In the Holiday Bowl I like the Cal Bears (+4.5) against the Texas Longhorns. This bowl is typically a shootout and I think that’s what the bowl committee looks to pit schools together that have a tendency to move the ball and score. I know Texas travels well but if the destination is not to a BCS Bowl then those numbers are substantially less. Cal fans only looking at a $58 dollar Southwest airline ticket and less than an hour in the air should have more than their share of crowd and will still be home in time to toast the New Year and watch the varsity schools play on the 2nd. All of the stat numbers are listed below for you quants, but let’s hit the lanes and get the season off to a good start. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Monday, December 5, 2011

Behind enemy lines on Monday Night

Yo, this is Nicky the Fish and we’re coming off win last week taking the nasty Raiders against the Bears taking our record to 14-8 for the season, but even Fish need to take a break every once in a while so I was off last weekend for the holiday so now it’s time to get back to work. On Monday night I like the Jags (+3.5) at home against the Super Chargers. A major managerial overhall in the JVille front office will look to reap immediate dividends and with no one’s job safe I look for the team to play hard. Across the ball the coming coaching and management changes upcoming in San Diego make for a team with no direction and their seventh straight loss. That’s the first of the December chowder which will be coming in double scoops going forward, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Sunday, November 27, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NFL

Yo this is Nicky and we’re back in the NFL on a Holiday Sunday after taking a little time off and we needed it after dropping that last game at the Big House and taking a little wind out of the sails. We’re now 13-8 on the season so we had better go on a three game winning streak and it starts today. In the afternoon games I like the nasty Raiders (-2.5 buy the hook) to beat the Bears in their first game without Jay Cutler. True, the Raiders don’t have any film on the Bears backup and they may be caught off guard but they should be able to make adjustments pretty easy, stack up the line, and not let Forte beat them. I was surprised to see the number so light, and I’m looking for a reason but I can’t find one. This is good value, take it and bid it. That’s the afternoon chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, November 19, 2011

Behind enemy lines in college football

Yo this is Nicky and we’ve given a couple back including a bad call on Stanford last week to drop up to 13-7 on the season, and we need to get the mojo going so let’s get to it. On Saturday morning in the NCAA I like the Nebraska Cornhuskers (+4 buy the .5 if you don’t get it) to go into the Big House and hang close if not win it on the field. I think the Black Shirts will be ready for DA and make him beat them with the pass which may be tough to do with that Big Red pass rush. Both teams can put up big points so the over is attractive as well (51) but you have to look and see about the weather. That’s the Saturday morning chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, November 12, 2011

Behind enemy lines in college football

Yo this is Nicky and after another split in the NFL last weekend we’re still just under 70% for the season at 13-6 so let’s try to get back into the win column. We hit the self proclaimed “Game of the Year” last by going with LSU and the points on the road. No need for the points as they won on the field. So let’s continue not to shy away from the marquis games and get on the big Stanford/Oregon game. Because of the bad weather I see the grass going unattended and a sloppy field that slows down Oregon just enough for Stanford (-2.5 buy the hook) to get revenge on the Ducks from last year and with the Boise loss finding themselves needed just to run the table to participate in their first BCS Championship Game. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves’ up!

Sunday, November 6, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NFL Sunday 11/9

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re looking real good with our first pick of the day as the Falcons are up by 3 touchdowns on the Colts so you can start making your way up to the ticket window. So we hit with a road favorite to start the day and I am going to end with a home fav as in the second game of the day I like the Nasty Raiders (-6.5 buy the hook) to easily handle the T-Boneless Broncos. I know Carson is getting his first start but he may actually work better in this offense than Campbell did because he is a true pocket passer which will open things up for RUN DMC quite a bit. The Broncos, well they’re the Broncos and I’m only sorry I was late to the party now that the betting lines have discounted what a bad pro quarterback Tim Tebow is. That’s the late afternoon chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Yo, this is Nicky and it may have been the game of the year but it was not the toughest line of the year as LSU was never out of the cover and it was an easy pick moving our record to 12-5 for the year in both college and pro, 13-5 if you count the Cardinals World Series pick. But this is all about what have you done for me lately so let’s get to it. I see some good value on the table for Sunday so let’s get to it. In the early games I like the Falcons (-6.5 buy the hook) to keep Indy winless as they’re in no hurry to get out of the Andrew Luck sweepstakes and Atlanta coming off a bye week need a victory to keep pace with the Saints who are really trying to keep the rest of the division in the race until the final week. I don’t know who the best team in this division is but I know the Falcons circled this game as one they had to have going into the second half of the season. That’s the early Sunday chowder, I’m Nicky, saying stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, November 5, 2011

Behind enemy line on the game of the year

Yo this is Nicky back for more damage after a split last weekend so our win percentage has not changed in two weeks as we move to 11-5. For those of you who have followed me for the past few years I have always made a point to not go where the crowd strayed but to where we found the most value. In other words just because it was the Monday Night game and the only game on TV didn’t mean it was worth putting chips in the center of the table, but every once in a decade you simply gotta’ get in the mosh pit and throw down with everyone else, like on Super Bowl Sunday. It may not be Sunday but only a few times a century do we get a mid-season 1 vs. 2 and this is one of those Saturday’s so we got to grab a gun and stand a post so let’s get to it. In the game of the year I like the LSU Tigers (+5) at Alabama. Why mess with the quant side on this game, as it’s all about who will make the big plays when they count and I just like LSU’s play-makers and defense to keep them close and on a neutral site the line would be a pick em’ and the sea of crimson ain’t worth more than a field goal so this may be a value play yet. That’s the prime time chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep you gloves up!

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Behind enemy lines in the NFL

Yo this is Nicky back for more action on an NFL Sunday Night after getting whacked on Saturday. Ya know sometimes you get bit by the back door cover or a kneel down cost but I would rather have one of those because that knife usually cuts both ways and you win some and lose some. But on Saturday I simply was going the wrong way and have to go back to drawing board, check the data and make sure we get the proper read next week. That drops our record to 10-5 and we got to get it back on Sunday night when I like Philly (-3 buy the hook) to beat Dallas at home. The Eagles are coming off a bye week and know the rest of their life begins Sunday and they have a ton of work to get done if they want to make the playoffs. The good news is there is a lot of losing going on at the top of the division and they should be able to make up the ground in they can go on a winning streak which I think begins Sunday. That’s the late afternoon chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, October 29, 2011

Coming off a World Series win

Yo, this is Nicky and you are so welcome for the Cards (+130) in seven. I gotta admit I was sweating like a dog on several occasions during game 6 but after the Cards won that one I knew we’d be walking up to the ticket window with a smug grin on our face. Normally when you play a series you only really hope it goes the distance because there normally an excellent chance to either hedge or middle. In this case it wasn’t really worth the effort or I would have followed up. Anyway, let’s get back to the grid iron where we are 10-4 this season and coming off a loss because of the Chargers lack of ability to close. So, with a bad taste in our mouths let get back to it. On Saturday I like Michigan State +4.5 going on the road at Nebraska. I know, they’re coming off the huge win over Wisconsin but they know that they got a shot at running the table and going BCS also the Huskers have not proven their ready for prime time in their B-10 body of work this year. That’s the Saturday chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, October 23, 2011

Behind enemy lines in the NFL

Yo, this is Nicky, and we split the board yesterday as the Trojans surprised me, and a lot of other people, but going into South Bend and ruining the first evening game in years for the Irish so that dog bit us, but we also had a dog take a big bite for us as the Spartans answered the call at home and actually were never out of the cover. Lost a little vig, but that’s not what were in this for so let’s get to it! Early on Sunday I like Super Chargers (+1) going into NYC and to beat the Jets. I know the Jets are unbeaten at home but I’m still not sold on that offense and the Chargers have been playing well and hard to believe they can fly underneath the radar at 4-1. That’s the early morning chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, October 22, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in NCAA Football

Yo, this is Nicky and it’s time to pack the lunch pail. There is some real value on the board as we look to improve on our 10-3 record this season so let’s get to it. I actually like two games on Saturday where I see some real value. Not in any particular order, I like Michigan State (+7.5) yea, a serious home dog, but I think Wisconsin’s first road trip will be a rough one and like State to roll back-to-back wins or at least keep it very close. I know the Badgers have a powerful running game but the Spartans proved they can contain a good running attack last week when they shut down Robinson and the Wolverines. This will be a great game to watch and an even better game to tease.

I also like the Fighting Irish (-6.5 buy the hook) at home to finally beat USC. Notre Dame has not won a big game in a while and particularly a rivalry game but I look for that trend to change. This is not the same Trojan defense we have seen in prior years and they give up a ton of yards and even more points. A secondary that’s ranked below 100 will give up some huge plays and I like taking the home team down in this one. That’s a second helping of chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the World Series

Yo, this is Nicky the Fish and as you know we normally stick to the grid iron and the hard wood but you can’t just let the Fall classic roll through town and not jump on board at least for a little bit so we’re going to go after the entire series rather than a game. I have read all of the stats and listened to the banter and I know every quant ever to grace a sports page has the Rangers in 6 or perhaps 7 (if they’re on TV and need to keep up ratings) but I’m going to look primarily at the qualitative info and take the Cards in 7 and get +130 for my efforts. Too many times I have seen the Wild Card team come into the playoffs the hottest team in baseball (IE; former defending champs San Francisco last year) and the Cards trialed the WC by over 10.5 games in August and needed all 182 games to punch the final playoff ticket. They also have home field advantage because of the “meaningless” all-star game played months ago. The Weather will also be to their favor as the Rangers will have to leave the comfortable warm weather to play in 40 degree and windy St. Louis. I also like big ballpark, that will help take away the long ball from Texas who has lived by it in the CS and LCS. Lastly, I think the DH or lack thereof, will be another factor that leads to a home field advantage as it’s another stick that comes out of the Rangers lineup. I would hit you with the quantitative data but you probably already know that. Anyway, that’s the bonus bowl of chowda, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Behind enemy lines in the NFL

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re back for more after another win yesterday as the LSU Tigers started slow but finished with more than enough juice to cover that large number for us and push us to 9-3 on the season between college and the NFL. I was leery about Sunday morning as they looked like great games to watch but touch to call and I was right so I’m glad I waited for the skies to clear. In the late games I like the Bears (-2.5) to play well on Sunday night and beat the Vikings. Soldier Field will be rockin’ and I like that Bears defense that only gives up 318 yards a game to keep McNabb in the funk that he’s in All-Day will get his but not enough to win this game and that’s basically all we need the Bears to do.

Saturday, October 15, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in NCAA Football

Yo, this is Nicky and because the Lions remained unbeaten and did it in convincing fashion we were able to run our record to 8-3 on the season between college and pro. It’s a busy Saturday and there’s a lot on the board so let’s get to it. In the afternoon I actually like a couple of games today. First I like LSU (-16) to pummel Tennessee on the road. The Vols are simply a mess in the wake of Lane’s destruction and they simply don’t have the horses to stay with the Tigers who look like the best team in the Nation. Look for the Tigers to be taking no prisoners as they need to boost their BCS number as the first rankings come out tomorrow. That’s the appetizer cup o’ chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

For you quants, here are the vital stats:

LSU has won 6 straight games.
Team records:
LSU: 6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS
Tennessee: 3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS
LSU most recently:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 8-2

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LSU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LSU's last 7 games on the road
LSU is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee's last 11 games at home
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tennessee's last 17 games
Next up:
LSU home to Auburn, Saturday, October 22
Tennessee at Alabama, Saturday, October 22

Monday, October 10, 2011

Behind enemy lines on Monday Night

Yo, this is Nicky and we split the day in college on Saturday as the Huskers couldn’t cover the big number and wouldn’t even have gotten the win if the Buckeyes didn’t lose their quarterback. In any case it keeps us in the same place and I didn’t see any value on Sunday that would make me take a position so we were of the board. I think Monday night’s game is the quintessential teaser bet if you had something left to pair it with but you don’t look to get two units on the same game so we gotta play it straight. That said, I’m going to continue to play the percentages with the “road team on Sunday, home team on Monday” theme which has held true and play the Lions (-6.5 buy the hook) to hold serve at home and move to 5-0 for the first time since the Paper Lion. That’s the Monday chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, October 8, 2011

Beind enemy lines in NCAA Football

Yo, this is Nicky and that some easy pickins’ to start the day now I want to keep the momentum going so let’s get to it. In the afternoon games I love Nebraska go also cover a big number (-10) as well, in their first Big-10 game in the school’s history. I know, the Huskers got whacked in Madison last week and don’t look ready for prime time, but that happens to a lot of schools in college football. I think the Big Red will come back strong and OSU is a still a mess with suspensions. That’s the evening cup of chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves’ up!


Yo this is Nicky and we got a little full of ourselves after our good start and we’ve been brought back down to earth in our last two, after the Fish couldn’t keep the game close in SoCal. No telling that Chadwick Henne would go down but what can you do so we need to clutch up this week but I think there is some serious value on the board to help us do it. Let’s wake up early and get started as I think the Sooners are going to rip the Longhorns a new one. So much so that I’m going to lay a TON of lumber (-10.5) and play the Sooners. This line is based on reputation and on a neutral field there is NO WAY the horns can match OU. Look for the Sooners to also get some defensive scores in this game and I’m staying away from the over because I think TX will have a tough time scoring. That’s the early chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, October 2, 2011

Behind enemy lines in the NFL

Yo, this is Nicky and it feels good to be back in the win column as yesterday the Wisconsin Badgers gave us a duress free afternoon, after they were down by a point, they took the lead, got the cover and allowed us to get a couple of cocktails before we headed up to the ticket window. This runs the record to 6-2 on the season between college and pro, but what have I done for you lately so let’s get to it. I see the most value in one of the afternoon games as a banged up Chargers team is going to have to win by more than a touchdown, in warm weather against a warm weather team. I like the winless Miami Dolphins (+7.5) to go into SoCal and not only cover but possibly win that game on the field. A loss drops the fish to 0-4 ahead of the bye week and sends their coach to the unemployment line. Look for them to man up and save his job. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, October 1, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in NCAA Football

Yo, this is Nicky and I guess we got a little ahead of ourselves and needed to be brought down to reality and if there is any team that can make you wonder “what was I thinking??” it’s the Redskins, so we gave one unit back and now we’re 5-2 but let’s get back on the right side of the ledger. In the afternoon games I like Wisconsin (-9.5 buy the hook) to beat Nebraska. Everyone seems to shocked at the double digit number and that surprises me, because I remember when an top ranked Ohio State team rolled into Madison and go whacked. I realize these are two totally different teams but that place is a pit to go into and try to come out with a win. The Husker’s Big-10 debut could be a rough one, particularly if they can’t stop the run. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Sunday, September 25, 2011

Behind enemy lines in the NFL

Yo, this is Nicky and at this point we’re simply kickin’ arse and taking names. After another win as the Bills upset the Pas (actually we had the over) we moved our record to 6-1 between college and pro on the young season so let’s try to keep the mo going on Monday night. I like the Skins (-3 buy the .5) to go on the road and beat the banged up Ca’Boys. It’s not just because Tony OK is one hit away from the sideline, no Miles Austin is going to a bigger factor as Dallas often struggles to score points. The Skins will be fighting for a 3-0 start that they haven’t seen since (insert joke here) and that on top of the rivalry should be enough to get them over the top. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky saying stay in ring and keep your gloves up.


Yo, how nice am i? Va Tech may not have made it easy for us but a 4th quarter score gave us our cover moving us to 5-1 for the season. I hope you’re on the train because I like what I see on Sunday as well so let’s get to it. In the early game I like the over, the old, the top (54 buy down to 43.5 if you can)in the New England / Buffalo game. The Bills secondary, particularly the corners have just been getting torched and the Pats hurry up offense should be no different, but on steroids. I look for Tom Terrific to drop a 40 spot on the Bills alone. On top of that the Pats still have given up a ton of points and even more yards in their two victories because they’ve managed to outscore them. if the Superchargers didn’t turn the ball over so much they would have been in the 30’s as well. The weather doesn’t get back in Buffalo until the second half of the season which favors a passing team, the defition of New England so take it and bid it and when you speak of me speak of me well. That’s the early morning chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in NCAA Football

Yo, this is Nicky and now we’re on a bit of a roll after hitting two NFL games last week (Cleveland and Atlanta) to run our record to 4-1 in the young season, and we don’t want to stop the mo’ so let’s get to it. On Saturday, unlike last week, there is some value on the board and early in the day I like Virginia Tech (-19) to beat up on 1-2 Marshall. This is a school that got hammered by 31 points at Ohio University, (The other Ohio that is not under constant investigation) and also has their best receiver out due to suspension, I can’t see how they’re going to move the ball. I know three touchdowns is a ton of lumber but Va. Tech is 3-0 and looking for respect, a road blowout will do it for them. that’s the early Saturday chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, September 18, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in Week 2 of the NFL

Yo this is Nicky and we got back in the win column last week as we hit BYU in College and the Cards in the NFL to improve our record to 2-1 for the young season. I didn’t see anything I liked on Saturday and it’s never a bad idea to do a research day. In the NFL I seem some value both early and late. On Sunday morning I like the Cleveland Browns (-1.5) to go into Indy and add to their misery. The Browns know going 0-2 may not mean their season’s over but it’s puts them in quite a hole with dates with Miami and Tennessee looming before the bye week. A loss and the best they can do is be .500 when week 6 kicks off. They won’t let it happen. Buy the .5 if you don’t get it.

In the late game on Sunday night I like Falcons (+3.5) to keep the game close against the “dream team”. I know the Eagles are an offensive juggernaut but they do leave the door open and are susceptible to give up big points on D when playing a balanced team and the Falcons are that, particularly at home. I know this is flying into the fire with the Vick homecoming an all but the flip side to that coin is that Hotlanta will be fired up for their first home game anyway and they will not be embarrassed. That’s the Sunday chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, September 11, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines on Opening Weekend

Yo, this is Nicky and we got a notch on the right side of the ledger yesterday as BYU pushed Texas to the limit and kept it close in the process so let’s try to keep the mo’ going into the first week of the NFL season. I was liking the Texans to beat up on Indy without Peyton but got scared off by the double digit number which now looks like they will cover so we’ll go with another pick that I liked just as well, The Arizona Cardinals (-6.5) at home against the Carolina Panthers. I think Cam Newton is going to get his dose of adult education against the Cards today and like Zona to start the season off well at home. No stats to available to woo the quants with as pre-season stats don’t mean a whole lot but betting against a rookie is normally a good call particularly if you can get it under a touch. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in NCAA Football

Yo this is Nicky and we need to get to work and get some wins, momentum under our belt so let’s get to it. In the late games I love BYU (+8.5) at Texas. I think the Cougars can win this one on the field let alone getting a ton o’ points. Both teams have a game under their belt but BYU looked good in theirs and the Horns’ did not. Certainly not good enough to beat a veteran school by 9 points. That’s the late day chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, September 8, 2011

Beind enemy lines in NCAA Football

Yo, this is Nicky the Fish and we took a chance and jumped in without any games under our belt and got burned by Oregon turnovers so we’re 0-1 on the young season and need to right the ship so let’s get to it. In the Thursday night game I like the Arizona Wildcats +15 on the road against Oklahoma State. The Cats don’t give up a lot on the ground and the CaBoys’ will need a balanced attack to cover that kind of lumber. I’m not saying the Big 11 won’t get the win but Zona has played a game too and should be good enough to keep this one tight if not steal it. That’s the early week chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, September 3, 2011

Beind enemy lines in NCAA Football

Yo, this is Nicky and a Happy New Year to everyone as we finally kick off the college football season! Now we normally would take a week off to gauge performance and then play the 70% winning system of playing a school that has played vs. one that was not in action this week, and we will still do that next week but there is something I like on the board so let’s get to it.
I like the Oregon Ducks (-3 buy the hook) to beat the depleted LSU Tigers whom will try to ride the “us against the world” theme but that won’t be enough to carry them. I think the line is more about the SEC vs. the Pac-12 than about the actual schools competing. The Ducks fell a little short in last year’s NCG but still have plenty of weapons returning and the experience should show against the Tigers who will have to start a number of freshman. Take it and bid it, that the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in MLB

Hey this is Nicky, and we’ve been on vacation but we had better get back into the swing of things as the NFL and NCAA are right around the corner so let’s get to it. In MLB I love the Rangers (-145) to beat the injury riddled Red Sox who just might melt in the Texas heat. It should be over 100 degrees by game time and with no Youk or Big Papi the Sox will have some issues scoring runs against Colby Lewis. Ok, that’s the late evening chowder, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, August 4, 2011

Beind enemy lines in the MLB pennant race

Yo this is Nicky and it’s time to get involved in the pennant races. I realize is going to be some tough sledding but life favors the bold so let’s get to it. The Pirates have had hit the slump that many expected them to as it looks like they’re running out of gas, winners of only two of their last ten and six straight. I know we’re trying to catch the falling knife here but they’ve got a stretch coming up where they play both division leaders (Giants/Brewers) and two series with the Cards so they know they had better get the Cubs and Padres. I like the Pirates (-150) with McDonald on the bump to beat Chitown as I have no faith in Lopez (2-3). That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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Friday, July 15, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines

How about those Blue Jay bats? Crushing Yankee pitching to the tune of 16 runs and handling our over, all by themselves! That brings us close to the .500 mark again and we’re feeling ready to break out! Maybe that’s why we like the Dodgers over the Diamondbacks tonight. The blue-crew seemed to brake out just before the all-star hiatus winning four straight for the first time this season. They send all-star Clayton Kershaw to the hill who has been just filthy as of late. The lefty has won all four starts against Arizona since 2010 and only surrendered one run in his last 20 and 2/3rds innings facing the D-backs. In that stretch both Stephen Drew and Justin Upton are a combined 1 for 24 with 11 strikeouts against the Dodgers ace. Arizona counters with a solid Joe Saunders who is trying to win a fourth straight decision. But Andre Ethier will be waiting! The Dodgers right-fielder is hitting .379 with three homers in his last 14 games at Chase Field. The number is a modest -125 for Kershaw so jump on it!

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Thursday, July 14, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines

With a limited seven game schedule back tonight after the all-star break, there are some tough calls in the majors but leave it to ole Nick to strain out the fat. Expect a slug-fest at the Rogers Centre between the Jays and Yanks. Toronto has hit New York starter Bartolo Colon fairly well in two tries this season, leaving him with an era of 5.68. The Bronx Bombers has also fared well against Jo-Jo Reyes. Back in May they pounded him for five runs over just three innings. The over number is 9 ½ and expect some rested hitters to swing away in Toronto!



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Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines-MLB

Hey, hey…. Despite a couple of long balls like ole Nick predicted that National League pitching did the trick in a 5-1 win and the right call on the under for all of you who followed my lead. That brings are recent record up to 4-6 in our last ten. Were just a game under .500 so it all coming around. The starters are up for Thursday’s return from the all-star break, but we’ll wait to see how the odds move and check the injury reports before we make a call with today being an off-day in the majors.



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Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines-MLB

O.k. so maybe Gio Gonzalez and C.J. Wilson were already thinking about the up-coming all-star break? Who knows but the last thing they were thinking about was keeping the ball down. Five homers is no way for an under to happen. But today is a new day and the all-star game is here! I’m always a fan of the under in baseball’s mid-summer classic. Even with inter-league play, most of these hitters have never faced the pitchers they’ll see tonight. The pitchers change every couple of innings and so do the players, so one guy is not going to face the same pitcher twice. The number is 8 ½, -120 and we must stick with the under. The only thing that concerns me is that closed roof home run haven their playing in at Chase Field. The ball flies far in that park but we’ll play for a 4-3 game.


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Friday, July 8, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines-MLB

Well it all started good in the Bronx with The Captain getting a hit in his first at bat then it seems like the Yanks forgot about the fact they were keeping score. The loss drops us back down to 3-6 in our last nine, but it’s a long baseball season so no need to panic.
Today’s pick takes us to Rangers Ballpark of Arlington, where the under between the A’s and Rangers is starring us in the face! With the number at 8 ½ and Gio Gonzalez matching pitches against C.J. Wilson, how can you not like it? Wilson is 4-0 with an era of just 2.54 in his last eight starts. Gonzalez has been just as impressive going 3-0 with an earned run average of just 1.29 and 34 strikeouts to boot in his last four starts. Against the Rangers he’s 4-1 with the era sitting at 2.34 in seven games. Finally, the Oakland offense has scored just five runs during it’s last four games. Load up on the under!



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Thursday, July 7, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines-MLB

After the lack of Dodgers hitting with runners in scoring position sent our recent record down a notch to 3-5, we’re going to switch coast and jump on the Bronx Bomber Bandwagon. I love the Yankees and Bartolo Colon laying the big number of -167, against Jeff Niemann and the Tampa Bay Rays. First of all the House that Derek built will be rocking! The captain is just three hits shy of becoming the first Yankee in history to reach three-thousand hits, so you know the place will be jumping with enthusiasm! Second Colon has been on a roll! The right-hander is seeking his fifth consecutive win, while working on a 13 inning shutout streak. During his last four outings, how about an era of 1.00! Low enough for you? Now Niemann isn’t bad against the Yanks with a 2-0 record and a 3.74 era in four outings. But I smell a fired up crowd in the Bronx which is hard to beat.




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Wednesday, July 6, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines-MLB

The ole Nickster is finally warming again up with three straight wins after that 0-4 stretch. To carry our streak to four, I like the team hoping to avoid a fourth straight loss, The Los Angeles Dodgers. Hiroki Kuroda is on the hill for the blue-crew and despite his 6-9 record, the right-hander’s era is still just 2.90. He’s already beat the Mets (winners of three straight), 2-0 in July when he gave up just five hits over eight complete innings of work. The Blue boys are actually a slight favorite at -127 which also says something since the Dodgers are 13 games under .500. Go blue and go big!


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Tuesday, July 5, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines-MLB

AFTER A REFRESHING HOLIDAY BREAK… OLE NICK IS LOOKING TO KEEP INCREASES HIS RECENT 2-0 RECORD ON THE DIAMOND. YOU HAVE TO TAKE A SERIOUS LOOK AT THE BRAVES OVER THE ROCKIES. ATLANTA IS -135 BUT WITH GOOD REASON. THE ROCKIES MIGHT PLAY WITHOUT BOTH CARLOS GONZALEZ (SORE RIGHT WRIST) AND TROY TULOWITZKI (TIGHT RIGHT QUAD). STARTING PITCHER JHOULYS CHACIN IS MAKING HIS FIRST START SINCE GETTING BOMBED BY THE CUBS AND SUFFERING TIGHTNESS IN HIS PITCHING FOREARM. THE BRAVES COUNTER WITH DEREK LOWE WHO IS COMING OFF ONE OF HIS BEST STARTS OF THE YEAR. HE GAVE UP JUST ONE RUN AND FOUR HITS IN SIX INNINGS OF WORK, BEATING SEATTLE LAST WEDNESDAY. THERE YA HAVE IT.



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Friday, July 1, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines

Feeling good too Louis! That’s the best way ole Nick can describe getting off the 0 for 4 slide with Justin Verlander and the Tigers yesterday over the Mets. But today is a new day and we’ll head to the Windy City for my Fantastic Friday
Feature. It’s North-Siders vs. South-Siders at Wrigley and the White Sox with Edwin Jackson are the call. A slight favorite right now at -113 Jackson has never beaten the Cubs. But he did throw very well in his last start versus the Nats last Friday tossing seven scoreless innings, although Chicago lost. Here is what I like. The Cubs are coming off back to back emotional walk-off wins over the Giants, including Thursday’s 13 inning affair. They’ll be spent, and starter Randy
Wells has a 5.25 era in two starts against the White Sox. In his last start Sunday against Kansas City, he gave up 10 hits and six runs in just six innings of work. If that doesn’t convince ya, the Cubs have won two games in a row eight times this season. They’ve also lost the chance to win three straight all eight times.


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Thursday, June 30, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines

Alright so Nicky has been getting a beat down over the last couple of days. But
What doesn’t kill me only makes me want revenge! That vengeance will come with
Justin Verlander and the Tigers over the Mets. The right-hander has been unbeatable
Including six straight starts with four of those coming at Comerica Park. He’s only
Allowed one run in 32 and 2/3rd innings. Did I mention the earned run average is
0.72 over the stretch. The Mets have scored 52 runs during a four game wins streak.
But that comes to a close in this one. Play the run-line to bring the number down and
Take Verlander and the Tigers.


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Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in MLB

As a betting man…..you have to love game two of the double-header between the Giants and Cubs at Wrigley Field. Here’s why. In game one Ryan Vogelsong pitches against Rodrigo Lopez. Vogelsong has been the comeback player of the year in baseball so far. The right-hander owns the lowest era on the San Francisco staff and should possibly take a spot on the N.L. All-Star team, even over ace Tim Lincecum. So with that said you have to like San Francisco in game one…. But you can never love the Giants offense which is the second worst in the National League so you leave that game along. But should the Giants win game one…. The Cubs are the play in the nightcap. Barry Zito makes his first trip to the mound in two and a half months for San Francisco. Not only will the rust show, the pressure will be on and we all know how tough it is for teams to sweep double-headers in baseball.

I’ll stay with a hot-swinging Dodgers team that pounded out 24 hits and 15 runs in game one of their series at Minnesota. Although Ted “Tiger” Lilly is pitching for Los Angeles, this blue crew is streaky and that should mean more trouble for Twins starter Brian Duensing. Not to mention the Twinkies have won the least amount of home games in the American League with a 14-17 record.

My over play of the day…… is Chicago at Colorado. The number is 9/ -120 and both starters, Gavin Floyd for Chicago and Jason Hammel for the Rockies have earned run averages over four. Neither pitcher has a winning record. Now throw in the thin air of Coors Field…. and watch the scoreboard operator work up a sweat! That's the chowder, I'm Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Friday, June 10, 2011

Behind frozen enemy lines

Yo this is Nicky, and we have been off the Ice for a little while but it’s time we get wet. In game five of the Cup Finals I ‘m going to lay the juice, not the half point, and play the Canucks to take a 3-2 lead. I know the Bruins have been punkin’ them as of late but home Ice will make a difference and for this team, city, country to be so close to their first title I look for them to overcome the injuries and suspension and play a great game, in a close one, and send it back to Boston need one more. But that’s all qualitative, on the quant side, Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road and the Canucks are is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games, and 5-0 at home. That’s the frozen chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, June 9, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Finals

Yo this is Nicky and we’ve managed to avoid getting stung by picking and choosing (favs mostly) when they had must win situations and that has worked well thus far 8-1 and we’re ready to jump back into the fray again, take the heat in more ways than one, and play them to clinch the Finals with a 3-2 lead. The number is Heat -1(buy the hook) and we look for LeBron to ‘man up’ after getting lambasted more than when he decided to publicly “take his talents to South Beach” and make a huge difference in this game. I just can’t bet on an inconsistent Dirk, and a cast of characters even though they are at home. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

next up....NHL Game 5

Sunday, June 5, 2011

A funny thing happened on the way to the ticket window……

Wow, I was basking in my own brilliance, winner of 7 soon to be 8 straight correct picks as DWayde canned a 45th & Main corner jumper for 3, pushing the lead to 15 with just over 7 minutes to go. I decided it would help me relax and enjoy the final minutes if I grabbed a Makers rocks and chilled. By the time I got back to my seat it was 11, Dallas ball and I’ll stop short of going through the rest of the game with you but rest assured, if we had not built such a huge stake by going on the seven win run, I would have tasted that Maker’s twice. Needless to after a tough beat it’s tough to get back in the saddle but let’s get to it. Ok, I am going to bank on the fact that the Heat have had three days to lament on the worst loss in NBA Finals history and will be ready to play in game 3. Everyone by now has heard or read the stat about in the 3-2-3 era the when they split the first two games the winner of game 3 has WON EVERY SERIES. Spoelstra is a numbers guy, and I know he’s thinking about it, and I KNOW Sir Patrick knows about it, and the Heat will make amends and win this game. The fact that I’m getting 2.5 makes me feel even better, and the fact that Stevenson is a game-time decision and even if he does suit up will not be 100%. I’m ready to order another…ok, let’s not go that far but I like this pick. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, June 2, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Finals

Yo, this is Nicky and I don’t meet to brag but “I’M THE GREATEST!” another win moves us to seven straight and if your book hasn’t cut you off yet then let’s keep riding the bull until it bucks us! In game two of the NBA Finals I realize Dallas knows if they lose it’s over and this group of 40-somethings will never get their rings, but they just don’t have the composition to be the Heat, and I’m going to lay the points again tonight (-4.5 buy the hook) as who knows how Dirk’s finger is going to be and even if he’s 100% he still is going to have to deal with the Miami defense which has forced him well below his normal playoff percentage. In retrospect the Mavs still shot 40% from 3, much better than one would have expected and still lost by 8, look for the Heat to make adjustments and knock that down a notch and I just don’t see where the Dallas scoring is going to come from. I’m going to stand clear of the under/over but take the Heat. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA Finals

Yo this is Nicky and after six straight wins in the NBA playoffs it would be easy to call it a post season but this is where we separate the men from the boys and what’s the point of the Finals if you don’t jump into the fray, so let’s get to it. In Game 1 I like the Heat (-4 buy it down) to beat the Mavericks and jump out to an early series lead. Dallas has taken control of every series thus far but they’ve shot really well in those openers and even in LA they had played just a few weeks earlier. Only one visit to Miami this season will diminish how effective they are from outside the arch and without the aid of the 3 Dirk will have a real rough time inside. On the quant side, Miami is 5-0 at home their last 5 but 0-5 straight up vs. Dallas, so we’re going against the grain but that’s the way we’ve rolled the entire playoffs and it’s worked for us so far.

For the series there just isn’t enough value for Miami at (-175) obviously the question is can Bosh stay with Dirk and can LeBron stop in in the 4th quarter if they switch up at the six minute mark during crunch time. If either of the answers is ‘yes’ then this will be over in five, otherwise pass the beernuts because this could go deep. In any case there is not enough data available to make an educated decision and at almost 1-2 odds we’ll get more value playing individual games. That’s the NBA Finals chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Association Playoffs

Yo, this is Nicky and after another win our win streak is up to five and I don’t see the train stopping anytime soon as patterns seem to be forming and we’re dealing with the same clubs, so let’s get to it. I like the Miami Heat -4.5 to put the Bulls behind the 8-Ball with a win tonight and go up 3-1. I know the Bulls haven’t lost three straight games all season but for a coach that was supposed to just roll out the ball, ES has come up with a crafty game plan that seems to be taking the MVP out of his game. The Baby Bulls may be all grown up but they still have a lesson to be learned about closing strong and the Heat are unbeaten (7-0) at home in the post season, and have enough vets to know this is as good as a close out game, so look for them to close out Chi-Town tonight. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

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Sunday, May 22, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Association Playoffs

Yo, this is nicky and after four straight wins it appears we’re picking our spots is working because we’ve won four straight in the Association playoffs and we’re going back to the well after a brief layoff. On Sunday evening I like the Heat (-4.5) to push the Bulls to a must win game 4. I think the mo’ on a weekend in Miami, where the finish line is in sight to justify all of the BS that they’ve had to endure this year will give them the energy to hang with the youngsters. Like many teams set up on the core-triangle plus role-players format, those role players play much better at home so look for the Heat bench to give them an added scoring punch that they’ll need to win and cover. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Monday, May 9, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Association Playoffs

Yo this is Nicky and I figure it’s time I jump back into the fray even though the NB A Playoffs have not played as easy as we thought it would, but let’s get to it. In the Association this evening I love road teams as I think the lines are giving too much credence to home court advantage which really hasn’t meant that much thus far. With that in mind, I love OKCThunda’ getting (+2.5) at Memphis. Even with what appears to be a decided advantage in talent the Thunda’ know if they go down 1-3 there may be no coming back. I would have picked the Thunda to win of the court to begin with and the extra hoop looks pretty good to me. That’s the chowda’, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Association

Yo this is Nicky and we’ve been holding our own in the Association playoffs this season and we want to keep the Mo’ going into the conference semis but there still a couple of first rounders left that may offer some value so let’s get to it. In game six of the Mavs/Blazers I going to go against the trend and LAY the number rather than picking it up so I like the Blazers -3.5 (buy the hook if you don’t get it) obviously an elimination game will have the added intensity but the Mavs know they have one more at their house to win it and I like the Blazers to send it back to Dallas for Game 7. That’s the evening chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Association

Yo, this is Nicky and we’ve gather enough data to jump into the playoff fray in both the NBA and NHL. Starting in the association I think the Orlando Magic will bounce back and take care of the Atlanta Hawks in game two of their opening round series, but I don’t think they’ll beat them by 10 points because they present so many match up problems for them. I know the season stats have been posted everywhere so it’s no secret the Hawks beat them 3-1 during the regular season and are 1-0 so far in the Post so this is more than just a negative trend, this is a problem so take the number.

I also like the Knicks (+8) to continue to play the Celtics tough even without Mr. Big Shot in the lineup. You gotta think the Knicks know if they go down 0-2 to the defending Eastern Conference Champs then their season is pretty much over. I just can’t see JO’Neil having consecutive games like the way he played in game 1 and that means Amare should rule the paint again. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Wednesday, April 6, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in MLB

Yo, this is Nicky and we’ve had some good success in everything other than the tournament and we’re looking to move our MLB record to 2-0 on the young season as I see a little value on the board so let’s get to it. I’ve been waiting to catch this falling knife for three days now and I ready to pounce on the Red Sox (-160) to get their first win of the season going up against the Cleveland Indians. I know Dais-k is a wild card but I think the will get some good run support and Talbot can be beaten at home. That’s the evening chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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Sunday, April 3, 2011

Behind enemy lines on the diamond

Yo, this is Nicky and it was more of the same in the NCAA Tournament as we were on the wrong side again dropping our record again. It’s a good thing we’re calling the NBA and NHL so well or we’d be under water so let’s try to get into the groove in Major League Baseball. This evening I like the LA Dogders -140 going against their rival Giants on Sunday night. Kuroda is going for LA who is very tough at home and Barry Zito takes the bump for defending champs but it’s very questionable how long he can go as he got in an auto accident during the week and was in a neck brace on opening day. I don’t expect him to get into the sixth inning, so the over is also a thought but I like the Dodgers to win on the field. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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Saturday, April 2, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Final Four

Well, it was more of the same for us in the tournament as Butler pulled away in the end and covered so we’ve dropped to 2-4 in the Big Dance but we still have a chance to get even if we can run the next two games so let’s get to it. In the second leg of the Final Four I like the Kentucky Wildcats (-1.5 buy the hook) to hold down the rest of the Huskies and win a close one. The Cats have the athletes to switch all perimeter screens which is going to make Walker really work to get good looks and I don’t see him dropping 30 on the UK. That’s the evening chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up.

Yo, this is Nicky and I know we haven’t done well in the dance this year (2-3) and normally we would stay off when we’re getting whacked with plenty of NBA and MLB to play but this is the Final Four and you gotta grab a gun and stand a post so let’s get to it. In the first game I like the VCU Rams (+3.5) I think the points will make a difference and their atheism will keep this one close and give them a chance to win it. I don’t expect them to shoot the 3 as well as they did against Kansas and I have some concerns about “Cavern Fever” as playing in such a big place often causes outside shooter s to have a bad game but even if they start off slowly, I look for them to press, change tempo and keep this close down to the wire. I look for this game to come to a two possession game and I like the points. That’s the early chowder, I’m Nicky, I’ll see you for the late game but in the meantime, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Monday, March 28, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Association

Yo this is Nicky and we gave a little cheese back on the Phoenix Suns after going 7-1 the NBA and NHL over the past week so let’s try to get back in the win column. Call me crazy but I really like the dogs on Monday evening, among them the Philadelphia 76’ers (+11) going into United Center to take on the Bulls. I know all about the Bulls and their momentum but Philly needs to hold off the Knicks or end up playing the Heat in the first round and they have one more game together. It’s a stretch that they will win the game on the court, but they should be able to stay close as eleven is a ton of lumber to lay coming down the stretch when resting players is key. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Friday, March 25, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Association

Yo this is Nicky and we’ve been on quite a roll as we even hit our tournament pick last night to bring our tourney record to 2-3 but we’re 7-1 outside of the NCAA over our last 8 so we’re going to stay in the Association. Tonight I like the Phoenix Suns (-4.5 buy the hook) at home against the New Orleans Hornets who played last night, went to overtime, and will be playing without their All-Star West who is out for the season. Phoenix needs to go at least 8-2 over their last 10 to have a shot of catching either the Grizzlies (8) or the Hornets (7) and a win tonight would be the equivalent of two wins so I look for the Suns to take care of business at home. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Wednesday, March 23, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA

Yo this is Nicky and we seem to be able to hit everything that moves OTHER than the NCAA Tournament including our two NBA games and one NHL game to go 3-0 so far this week. Let’s stay in our comfort zone with the NBA and see if we can keep it going. During this time of year I’m looking for teams that have to win going up against teams with nothing to play for and there are a couple on the table that look like there’s some value there. I like the OKC (-10.5) against the Utah Jazz as Ok city needs to hold off Denver who is charging but one or two more wins and it should solidify the 4 seed for the Thunda’. I also love the Rockets tonight who are in the midst of their typical late season push and are just two games back of Memphis for the 8th seed and are winners of 7 of their last 10 but will go on the road for their next three games so they know they have to hold serve at home in a game they should win. I know we have not done a lot of it this season but these are excellent teaser games so play them for half a unit to try and get some extra cheese on those nachos. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Monday, March 21, 2011

Behind frozen enemy lines

Well, it seems once we get away from the NCAA Tournament we do ok as we hit another NBA Game last night as the Trail Blazers had it when they needed it and although they didn’t win the game they kept it within 6 and that’s all we could ask. So tonight we’re going to gather our breath and take a break from the hard wood and cool down. In the NHL I like the Clagary Flames (+1.5 for -200), a very tasty line as this is a must win battle for both clubs and should go down to the final horn. The Flames are currently underwater in the 10 spot but only one-point outside the playoffs. They’re an even .500 on the road this season but have a +12 point differential. They realize this could be their season if they drop a game to one of the clubs their chasing and should keep this game close. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Saturday, March 19, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Madness

Yo this is Nicky and we’re under water by two games as Washington got back doored in the final seconds and almost found themselves in overtime against Georgia. Ok so the dogs have been barking all tourney long but I think it stops this afternoon and I like Gonzaga (-1 buy the hook) against BYU. Without an inside presence the Zags, who are already playing very well, are going to be tough to beat. They really look like they’ve put it together and have play a discipline style of ball that will keep the game in control without allowing the Cougars to get those open looks from beyond the arch.

Thursday, March 17, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Madness First Weekend

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re 1-1 in the dance so far and gotta get above .500 so let’s get to it. In the late session I like the Washington Huskies (-5.5 buy it if you don’t get it) to beat Georgia. Washington has been on a roll including wins over Arizona and UCLA down the stretch (both tournament game winners) and they should keep the mo’ going as the Pac-10 appears to be better than people thought. That’s the evening chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring, and keep your gloves up!

************************************************

Yo, this is Nicky and although it’s the best time of the year it’s also the toughest as we’re about ready to embark on the impossible, calling the NCAA tournament and do better than 65%. It will certainly be a journey but I’ve watched the first few games and it does appear that the parity in college basketball is more than evident as there’s already been one major upset and favs are having a problem making the number. With that in mind let’s get to it. In the late games I like Utah St. (+2.5) against Kansas State. The Aggies won 30 games this year and on a neutral site this one could come down to one possession. Also late, I like UCLA (+2 buy the ½ point) to beat Michigan State, a Thursday night game is right on with the normal Pac-10 schedule and I look for the Bruins to be right in sinc. Despite being a student of the analytical side most of those stats go out the window when talking about a neutral site tournament game so this is a pure talent play. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, March 10, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Conference Tournaments

Yo, this is Nicky and we gave a unit back last night as we got ‘back doored’ last night on the final two possessions as the Pistons got the number within double digits, now we gotta make up that unit so let’s get to it. In the Conference Tournaments I like USC (-3) vs. California. The Trojans have to at least make it to the Pac-10 Finals to ensure an NCAA Tournament Bid and this game is walking distance from their campus, might as well be a home game, and in a place (Staples) that they’re familiar with. I like them only laying one possession. That’s the morning cup of chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Monday, March 7, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA

Yo this is Nicky and this is the time of year that is simply great to be a hoops fan as the conference tournaments get underway just ahead of the big dance, and the NBA gets down to the final 20 games. We’ve got a whole year of data underneath our belt so let’s make some good choices and get to it. On Monday night I like the Memphis Grizzlies (-2.5) against the Oklahoma City Thunder in a very important conference game. The Grizzlies are a very good home team at 21-9 and can pull to within a half game of the Thunda with a win, and perhaps catch Portland for the 7th seed. The Grizz have won 8 of 11 and is 5-1 over their last 6. That’s the early week chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, March 3, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines before the tourney

Yo this is Nicky the Fish and we took our first loss in four games as Philly couldn’t score in the final minute and a half and took their first loss at home in while so we gotta get our cheese back and let’s get to it. On Thursday night in college I like UCLA (+9 buy the extra .5) going into Washington in a huge Pac-10 game. Now, I’m going to be straight up wit ya that the numbers aren’t going our way on this. The Huskies are 17-1 their last 18 at home including 4-1 ATS vs. UCLA, but their last lost was to Wash St. in the hardwood version of the Apple Cup but UCLA has won 7 of 8, 4-2 on the road in a tough road conference, and if they win this they are almost assured a tie for the pack 10 title which means a long journey back has come to a close after 3-straight conference titles and final-fours. Washington could still win this game but I love getting huge lumber when my club has a good chance of actually winning on the court. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the Association

Yo, this is Nicky and after a win on Saturday by UCLA we’re going on 4 straight wins (3-0 college 1-0 NBA) and this late in basketball season things are starting to play true to form so let’s try to keep the momentum going. In the association I’m going ride the momentum train and take the Sixers (+2.5) to upset the Mavericks. Both teams are streaking (Mavs winners of 5 straight, Philly 6 of 7) but the home mo’ has been huge and after going 3-13 to start the season the Sixers are making a huge charge, and they may outboard the Mavs which I like as the teams shot about the same from the field. That’s the early week chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Saturday, February 26, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in NCAA Hoops

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re 2-0 our last two in college hoops and 1-0 in the Association so let’s keep the mo’ going. In the Pac-10 on Saturday I like UCLA (-2 buy the hook) to hold serve at home and get their share of the Pac-10 title. I know Arizona worked them last time out at McCale the Bruins have won 6 of 7 with the only loss coming in OT at Cal. Howland’s got the Burins in tournament form and this is a school that coming off 3 straight Final Fours has been insignificant and wants to get back in the spotlight. Needless to say a win Saturday against a top ten opponent completes their resume to not only get into the dance but get out of that 8-9 death game and avoid Duke in the 2nd round. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NBA

Yo, This is Nicky and I’m ready to get jump back into the fray that is the NBA, as I see a trend that could be fool’s gold. In the late game I like the Lakers (-2) vs. the Trail Blazers. I know all about the Laker woes at the Rose Garden, where they are 1-9 but so do the Lakers and no one let’s them live it down. Moreover they are revived since the All-Star break, and 9-2 on the second leg of back-to-back games. Add into the fact that Roy may not go and if he does he will not be 100% and that will make the difference. The Blazers are just too small to contend with the LA size. Take the Lakers and when you speak of me, speak of me well. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Behind Enemy lines mid-week in the NCAA

Yo this is Nicky and coming off a win yesterday in college hoops we’re looking to keep the mo’ going so let’s get to it. In the war that is the Big East Conference where 9 schools are separated by 3 wins, it seems like home court makes all the difference and I like Cincinnati (+2.5) to defend their home court against The Ville’ and return to the form that had them at 15-0 at one point during the season. Both teams are 19-6 and it could come down to foul trouble but the Bearcats are 4-6 since going 15-0 and this game means a possible tournament bid and I look for them to be ready to play. Thant’s the Mid-Week chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring, and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Behind Enemy lines in College Basketball

Yo, this is Nicky and now that the NFL is over we’ll need to find new action and prior to the big dance I’m ready to step into the sox hops to get ready. Tuesday in the Big-Ten the OSU Buckeyes are coming off their first loss of the season at the hands of Wisconsin and I do think they’ll bounce back against Michigan State as they return home. However I also believe the Spartans shoot the 3-point ball entirely too well for them to get smoked by 12.5 so I’m going to take the big points with Michigan State (+13 buy the hook) as they go on the road and take on the #3 Buckeyes. That’s the early week chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, February 6, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines on Super Bowl Sunday

Well after months in the trenches we’ve finally come to the end of a long road. At the beginning of the season we set the bar very high based on our record last year and I’m proud to say despite that terrible start we hit just over 70% of our picks this season (71.35%) and I hope you spoke of me well as you were toasting. Ok, I’m getting a sore shoulder from patting myself on the back so let’s get to desert, which is the Super Bowl.
On Super Sunday I am going to take the Pittsburgh Steelers (+3.5 buy the Hook) in a game that should be very close, unless the top-rated defense in the NFL finds a way to stop the rookie from running like he has in his two previous playoff games then it could be ugly for Green Bay. All stats go out the window for the Bowl as with 2 weeks to prepare most teams can completely scheme a game plan to get them through 60 minutes but I like the way Pitt has been playing lately winners of 8 of 9 and may have had their bad game in the AFC Championship game. The Pack have also hit their stride in the playoffs and are winners of five straight but a 4th consecutive road win seems to be where the breaking point comes although I’d like to seem them put the whole “Favre legend” to rest, but it’s not going to happen today.
That’s the final bowl of chowder, I’m Nicky, thanks for taking the ride, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! And I’ll be back for the NBA next week!

Check out all of the betting lines and prop bets here.

Sunday, January 23, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines on Championship Sunday

Yo, this is Nicky and we took a touch loss last week to de-real an almost perfect NFL post season but we still went 3-1 for the weekend and there are 3 more to go so let’s get to it. In the early game I’m going to take the road dog in the early game and buy the pack down to -3.5 and play for a 21-17 type game. I know it’s tough to win three consecutive road games but it’s also important to ride into the playoffs with the right momentum and the Packers have had to play 4 straight playoff games in that regard and have answered the call in all of them. AR is playing as well as any QB still left in the tournament and the Packers are no strangers to the cold weather. I will break out some stats for this one as it is their third matchup of the season. Although Chicago is 8-2 over their last 10 they’re 2-4 when playing the Pack and 4-13 vs. the Pack at Soldier Field. That’s the early game chowder, I’m Nicky, back with the AFC Championship in a bit.


In the Late Game I’m going to go the other way and finally see a home team (Steelers -3, buy the hook) finally take care of business against a team they should beat in these playoffs. Pittsburgh has been waiting for this day for quite some time and the added momentum of only having to beat a Jets team at home as opposed to going on the road at New England should provide the added mo’ necessary. The Steelers are 7-1 in their last 8 games (4-1 at home) and they will be the one team that takes advantage of the hard work they put in all season to earn the privilege. That’s the Championship Day chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring, and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, January 16, 2011

Behind Ememy Lines on Sunday in the Divisonal Playoffs

Yo, this is Nicky and we went 2-0 yesterday to raise our playoff record to 5-1. At this point if you’re playing even units we can’t end up with a negative balance so we’re playing with house money. Now let’s be smart and not bleed any profits and see things for how they are. On Sunday we’re dealing with huge lumber in both games so don’t forget to look at weather and injuries. There is no need to aggrandize or over analyze the games so I’m going to lay the lumber in both, and buy the hooks take them down to 9.5 and play both the Bears and the Pats to hold serve against teams they have both beaten earlier in the season. In the NFC I think the Hawks shot their wod and have already lived up to expectations in winning one playoff game. At 7-9 they were on borrowed time to begin with but on the road, in the elements, in a hostile Solider Field, I’m going to live n’ die with Crazy Jay Cutler and hope he can make more plays than he gives away.

In the AFC I’m think that Sexy Rexy’s trash talk is going to catch up with him and his club and the Jets will become victim number 9 at home for the Pats this season. The Jets won the first meeting after being down in the first half then shut out the Pats in the second half to get the victory. New England has played only 4 quarters of bad football since that 1st half and I am as surprised as the next guy that they still can move the ball with no deep treat , but they and are actually better without Randy than with him. And I will take that bet, Tom Brady against a warm weather, rookie, QB in Mark Sanchez out in the elements with that Pats D that has been getting better each week. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, saying stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, January 15, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NFL Divisonal Playoffs

Yo this is Nicky and at this point you should pretty much have my page bookmarked on your computer the way we’re rollin’ right now. We need to follow up a 3-1 NFL weekend and 1-0 NCAA hoops week, so let’s get to it. It’s time to separate the men from the boyz and the girls from the women as it’s the Divisional playoffs, an although the games are the most intense of the season, that’s what works to our advantage in regards to the betting lines, good time to dust off that teaser strategy to leverage how accurately the odds makers are at this point in the season. Ok, in the early game on Saturday I’m staying at home and taking the Steelers down to 2.5 by buying the hook and play them to hold serve at home. I normally don’t look at season stats when it comes to the playoffs but when team play each other for the third time then patterns have already formed, and Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS their last 6 against the Ravens, and 5-2 straight up. Look for Ben to keep the Mo’ going and a rested Pittsburgh team to wear down the Ravens come 4th quarter. That’s the early morning chowder’ I’m Nicky, back with the late game shortly.

Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in NCAA Hoops

Yo, this is Nicky and we have been riding a wave of success in both the NCAA and NFL football since the end of 2010 but the gridiron and the hardwood are two totally different things. I figured I had to check into the game sooner or later and there is something that looks really attractive on the board. I love the Iowa State Hawkeyes (+9.5) hosting the undefeated Kansas Jayhawks. That is just a ton of lumber and with the students coming back this week that is going to be a fervent and difficult place to win, and IState would have been a tough out to begin with at 13-3. There are no injuries of note to ether club to talk me off of this so take it and bid it. That’s the surprise mid-week chowder, I’m Nicky, saying stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Monday, January 10, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NCG

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re coming off a 3-1 NFL playoff weekend and we’ve won our last four bowl picks so we’re riding a wave of mo’ into the title game so let’s finish up our biznis’ college football. In the last game of the season the BCS Title Game, where these two teams have enough offense to score 100 each, I am going to assume that with 37 days to prepare that the defenses will be ready and you will not get the 40-37 that many are expecting so I am going to take the points and the Oregon Ducks (+3.5 buy the hook). I’m not sure what book ESPN places through but I have not seen an EVEN line anywhere. In that regard, these teams play pretty close to even and even though field goals are supposed to be like extra points in this one, I think getting more than 3 will be huge. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring, and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, January 9, 2011

Behind Ememy Lines during Wild Card Weekend

Yo this is Nicky and after the Ravens took care of biznis’ as expected to run our playoff record to 2-1 and now we have the toughest of all the wild card games to try and close out the weekend at .750 so let’s get to it. I’ve oscilated quite a bit on this one and in the end the two factors that tipped the scale were the uncertainty of Vick’s hammy, which I don’t believe could heal in a week (last week he could not go), and the Eagles home record which is the worst on any team in the playoffs this year at 4-4. Tack on the Packers pass rush that may keep Vick in check and I’m going to take the Packers (+3.5 buy the hook) and enjoy a very close game. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, January 8, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the NFL playoffs

Yo this is Nicky, coming off another bowl victory running our winning streak to six straight and now it’s time to take on the NFL playoffs with four wild card games over the weekend. Now that we’re in ‘championship season’ there is not picking n’ choosin’ our games we just got to step into the ring and win more than we lose so let’s get to it.

On Saturday the first game I am NOT going to take the bait or buy into the upset propaganda that the SeaChickens have a shot of winning this game, but I am always afraid of the backdoor cover when laying that much lumber, just the same I’m taking the Saints (-10 buy the hook, or the point depending when you got in). I understand that all stats go out the window come playoff time but the Saints are 5-1 their last six games on the road and Seattle is not a good home cover team at 2-5 ATS, and quite frankly the Saints dominate in every statistical category.

In the late game on Saturday Night I like another road team as I’m going to take the Jets (+3.5 buy that hook for yourself) to go into Indy against a very beaten up Colts team and get a win to set up a rematch with the Pats. It’s hard not to make this out to be a Peyton vs. Sanchez matchup but if it is, then Peyton has one arm tied behind his back as his favorite receivers will be wearing as many pads as I will and that will make the difference. The Jets can run the ball and their shut down corners will make Peyton’s job even more difficult. That’s the late game chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Sunday, January 2, 2011

Behind Enemy Lines in the last week of the season

Yo, this is Nicky back for more as this is almost getting to easy. At this pace we’ll pay for all of our holiday expenses by next week. After going 2-0 on New Year’s Day with OU and Wisconsin, were 5-0 over the last five picks and I there seems to be more value on the board Sunday so let’s get to it. Firstly, you gotta stay away from the teams that may be resting starters come 2nd half (ie; Pats , Chiefs) if you’re needing a cover, conversely this may be catalyst to an easy win if you get that combination of a team that needs to win vs. a team that has already clinched all that they need. With that in mind I love Green Bay (-9.5 buy the hook) against the Bears as Lovie Smith has already stated that he doesn’t expect his starters to be in for the entire game and the Pack need a win to get into the post season. You can throw the quantitative analysis and trends out the window as the players involved will not be the same as normal. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Saturday, January 1, 2011

New Yedar's Day Chowder

Yo, how hot are we right now? Coming off another win as the Badgers kept it close enough and in the end it was probably better that they didn’t hit the two point conversion. Anyway this freight train can’t be stopped so let’s keep it rollin’. In the Orange Bowl I can’t imagine more of a miss-match than what we see in this game. If not for the automatic bid this team would have been playing around Thanksgiving not on New Year’s Day. Anyway play the Sooners (-14.5)to dominate the Huskies for 4 quarters, represent in the last bowl game for the Big-12 possibly ever. That’s the late evening chowder, and when you speak of me, speak of me well.

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Yo, this is Nicky and there is so polite way to say this other than we are simply kickin’ arse and takin’ names right now after another win with Oklahoma State easily disposing of Arizona to keep our streak going. Now on New Year’s Day things get a little tougher to call but let’s get to our games. In the Rose Bowl I like Wisconsin (+3.5 buy the hook) against TCU. The Frogs have talent at the skill positions there’s no doubt about that but the Badgers are simply too big up front and should be able to control the line of scrimmage, run the ball at will, and control the clock. This should keep that TCU off balance and off the field and keep this game very close if not win it on the field. That’s the mid-day chowder, back with one more game later on, stay in the ring, and keep your glove’s up!
12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.