Wednesday, December 29, 2010

coming to the peak of bowl season

Yo, this is Nicky, and I hope your holiday season is going well and I’m glad I’ve been able to help as we’ve won our last 3 games which has put a little somthin’ in your stockings if they’re still hung. But this mission is about the long haul and now it’s time to get involved in Bowl Season so let’s get to it. In the Alamo Bowl on Wednesday evening, I love the Ok State Ca’Boys (-5) against the Arizona Wildcats. The Cats have lost their last four games and given up a ton o’ points (ave over 30) in each of those games. I realize his is a statement game for the Pac-10 as one of their teams in the middle is taking on a B-12 best but Zona’ shouldn’t be carrying the flag as they are 1-4 ATS their last 5 and Ok State is 10-2 their last 12. That’s the mid-week chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring, and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, December 26, 2010

Behind Enemy Lines for the Holidays

Yo, this is Nicky and sorry for late post but this has been some tough sledding and most of these games mean something so you gotta keep your head about ya. Ok, lots on the table so let’s get to it. In the late games I like Bucs (-6) vs. the SeaChickens who have plenty to fight for as well but can still clinch a playoff spot with a win next week as opposed to the Bucs who must win and need some help from the Saints if they want to keep their season going. It’s no secret that Seattle doesn’t travel well (3-13 ATS on the road) and this will be tough game as Tampa loves to run the ball and Seattle is 21st in the league is against the run. Neither team is a playa’s favorite as both are 1-4 ATS over their last 5 games. That’s the Holiday chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your glove’s up!

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Beind Enemy Lines in the bowl season that's longer than baseball

Yo, this is Nicky and although we took a tough beat on Sunday I’m ready to get back in the saddle as we try to define what it means to stay in the ring and keep our gloves up so let’s begin our trek of navigating through the maze that is bowl season. I understand when you got some time off of work and your shopping is all done there’s nothing better than sitting in front of a flat screen with a cold one and watching an otherwise meaningless game but screaming your ass off because you got some scratch on it. Because you asked for it I’ll do my best to provide whatever direction I can when I see something that jumps out at me even if it is in the Kohler Toilet Bowl, so let’s get to it. Let’s see, the Hawaii Bowl, hosted by Uof Hawaii, featuring Uof Hawaii, in Uof Hawaii’s home stadium. The top ranked passing offense in the nation going up against the worst ranked defense in the nation. Not a setup to boost the program? A team from Oklahoma whose state is under six feet of snow going to the beaches of Hawaii and not be distracted?? Forget about the stats, they don’t even matter, lay the 10 points and get your bowl season off to a good start. That’s the early week chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, December 19, 2010

Behind enemy lines during the most curcial week in the NFL

Yo, This is Nicky doin’ more work in the NFL as they continue to give money away as we took it off the table last week with the Pats over ChiTown and have hit 3 of our last 4 pro games and there seems to be some real good value on the board Sunday so let’s get to it. I’m a bit surprised and some of the spreads this weekend and I’ve looked for reasons to justify some of them and can’t seem to find them so I’m going to take the lumber, back my bags, and go on the road. I know EVERY long-term trend is going against them but I’m going to play the Jags +6 (buy the hook if you don’t get it) to sweep the Colts for the first time (or at least keep it close). Playing wounded the Colts are 1-4 ATS their last 5 games, and 2-4 ATS vs. the Jags their last six. To me this is not a war of attrition, but simple matchups and the Colts simply have too many injuries to hold off the Jags who are playing with a chip on their shoulder the size of Maurice Jones-Drew. They been told for too long who is the class of the division and this is their chance to stake their claim and 6 is just a TON o’ points for an inter-division teams that are playing each other for the second time in a season. That’s the early morning chowder, I’ll be back with the late game this afternoon, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Sunday, December 12, 2010

Behind Enemy Lines in the NFL

Yo this is Nicky, coming off a split last weekend, as we were among those that had our money taken out of our pocket when Troy made that amazing play in the 4th quarter last Sunday night so let’s try to get that cheese back. Fool’s go where angels fear to tread and I’m glad I laid off the early games this morning as it’s looking a lot like ‘dog day afternoon’ as the Jags, Steelers, Packers, are all not on pace to cover, and the Falcons (questionable road team) is the only team that seems to be handling their bizness’. What that said I still like my game even though the line has actually moved OUR way, which means heavy money is following us (not always a good sign as most of the public loses) but I’m still going to stick with it as now it gives us a much better number. I like the Pats (-2.5 now you can get it under a FG as the line has gone from 4 to 3 so buy the hook)to win on the road against Da’ Bears. I know New England is a terrible road team, but I will counter that as bad as they have been the Pats are actually 4-1 straight up their last 5 on the road and 5-1 over the last 6 against the Bears. I would have liked the over in this one but the weather is going to make it hard to throw which is also the only way I expected the Bears to be able to move the ball. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring, and keep your gloves up!
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Sunday, December 5, 2010

Behind enemy lines in the NFL on a Sunday full of big games

Yo, this is Nicky and we’re riding a little mo’ after hitting the B-12 Championship game yesterday as I thought that might be too many points in a such a big game, so let’s keep that going as we focus on the NFL where I see some good value on the board so we’re looking at two of the late games today. Firstly, we’re going into the fire in a heated rivalry game as I like the Ravens(-2.5 buy the hook) as they host the Steelers. I know, it was a 3 point game last time and the Steelers didn’t have Big Ben but the Ravens are undefeated at home this year and they will be putting pressure on Ben all day and with his bad wheel it could be a long day. On the quant side the Steelers are 2-4 ATS their last six games, and 4-7-1 ATS when playing the Ravens. This is a huge divisional game and look for it to be close but the Ravens to come out on top, we got one more after this….

8-3 December 5, 8:20 PM | Turf of M&T Bank Stadium 8-3

Another game I like is a road dog as the Ca’Boys (+7 buy it if you don’t get it) go into Indy to take on a pretty banged up Colts team, with an injury list that reads more like a starting lineup. However, one thing I normally like to see is when a team is NOT playing well as that tends to continue but in this case it does concern me a little as the Colts know they can still take the division if they turn it around. Conversely, Dallas has played very well, and motivated under their new coach and that is also a powerful trend. I realize they have no Romo and no Barber but they still have plenty of weapons to keep this game close if not win it on the field. That’s the last of the Sunday chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

3-8 December 5, 4:15 PM | Turf of Lucas Oil Stadium 6-5

Injury Report
Bob Sanders S Out Week 13 (biceps)
Joseph Addai RB Doubtful Week 13 (neck)
Gary Brackett LB Questionable Week 13 (toe)
Austin Collie WR Questionable Week 13 (concussion)
Brody Eldridge TE Questionable Week 13 (rib)
Aaron Francisco CB Questionable Week 13 (thigh)
Mike Hart RB Questionable Week 13 (ankle)
Kelvin Hayden CB Questionable Week 13 (neck)
Charlie Johnson T Questionable Week 13 (back)
Ricardo Mathews DE Questionable Week 13 (back)
Daniel Muir DT Questionable Week 13 (hamstring)
Clint Session LB Questionable Week 13 (elbow)
Justin Tryon CB Questionable Week 13 (foot)
Reggie Wayne WR Questionable Week 13 (knee)

Saturday, December 4, 2010

Behind Enemy Lines on Championship Saturday

10-2 December 4, 8:00 PM | Turf of Cowboys Stadium 10-2

Yo, this is Nicky talkin’ and we’re coming off a split last week as Ok State let us down after Wisconsin had us covered by half-time on one of the easiest games we’ve played all season. Most of the games are significant so it was some tough sledding but I did manage to find some value on the board so let’s get to it. In the Big-12 Championship I love Nebraska (+5) which seems to be some serious lumber for a championship game when the schools are pretty close not only in record but in stats (which actually favor Nebraska) and I love getting more than a FG in rivalry games. Nebraska is 11-2 its last 13 games and don’t forget how they were supposed to get blown out last year by a good Texas team that was quite fortunate to hit a last second FG to win. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! Back with the NFL later on in the day.
12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.