Sunday, October 31, 2010

Behind enemy lines in the NFL

Yo, this is Nicky and we took the gift the books gave us yesterday with Iowa only laying a touchdown at home. If they’re going to continue to present “gifts” like that, we’re going to take them. Unfortunately there is nothing that obvious on the board in the NFL , but we’ve won our last 2, so we have to work a little harder but let’s get to it. Ok, one rule I have always implemented is that I never bet on a dog I don’t think can win on the field. In the NFL you very rarely will see a spread over 2 tds and if you do that’s a big red flag to stay away. We don’t see anything like that this week but we are going to take a road dog in a strange game that you wouldn’t have been surprised if the line was the other way and that’s what I like. In a late game I like the over (41 buy the hook) between the SeaChickens and the Nasty Raiders at home. The stats don’t favor Seattle because they’re not a good cover team, and I was one step away from taking the field goal, but the number scared me off. Seattle is 0-5 straight up and ATS on the road against Oakland their last 5 games and I just can’t stand in front of that train and stop it. So more attractive is the over (41) as 7 of Seattle’s last 10 games have gone over as well 4 of the last 5 against Oakland. The Raiders themselves have gone over in four of their last five, so that’s where the strongest trend is. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.