Saturday, August 28, 2010

Behind Enemy Lines in the MLB pennant race

Ok, this is Nicky and I’m still bitter about yesterday’s loss dropping us to 9-5 (just over even w/juice) so we’re going to get some of our cheese back and break one of our ‘constraints’ because as you know there are no “RULES” in what we do. That said, we are going to run it back and play the Giants (-220) against the Dbacks on the premise that they will not get swept at home. This has not happened all year and with the pressure of their Wild Card hopes (now 2.5 games out) taking a hit in a series that they almost surely penciled themselves winning if not sweeping. The Dbacks have Cain on the bump at 5-10, and I don’t seem him being able to shut the Giants offense down. If you’re looking to Par, check out the over at 7.5. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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Yo, this is Nicky stepping back into the box after looking fastball and getting the deuce on that Reds call. My bad. So we’ve dropped to 9-4 but gave up a unit and a half because of the juice so we gotta get that back. Fortunately, the best thing to remedy a bad loss is a good win and there seems to be some good value on the board today, but as you know we only chose one, so I’m going with the Giants (-150) to beat the last place Diamondbacks. I’ve tried to find something wrong with this game as the Giants are a great home team, they have Zito on the bump going against Hudson who has only 6 starts to his credit, and it’s the type of matchup we’re looking for where one team has everything to lose going up against a club with nothing to gain. On the quant side San Francisco is 7-1 their last 8 games against Zona and 6-1 at home. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Beind Enemy Lines in the pennant race

Yo, this is Nicky back for more damage but I gotta’ admit there was no way of knowing about Strasburg’s injury but we’ll take the win just the same for our third in a row to move to 9-3 in our last 12. Things don’t get any easier as the season moves more and more into crunch time, so unless you want to lay huge lumber in games that involve a non-contender you need to keep on your toes and do your homework. I realize road dogs are a risky prop in August but that’s also what keeps you at least close to even money when betting on a good club so let’s get to it. I like the Reds (-102) going into AT & T Park against the Giants. Travis Wood (4-1, 2.51 ERA) could be the best kept secret and even better than the afore mentioned Strasburg, and San Francisco's hitters may all face a challenge facing him for the first time. Anyway, it’s minimal juice to lay for a division winner in the heat of a pennant race. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep you glove’s up, as Football is coming soon!!

Saturday, August 21, 2010

Behind Enemy Lines in the MLB pennant race

Yo this is Nicky and we’re back in the winners column with two straight wins bringing the record to 8-3 for the last 11. We’re really trying to pick our spots now, particularly as the games begin to be really important to some clubs while others are bringing up players to get ready for next year. Couple that with some serious juice on the home teams that need a win and you almost have to win 2 to 1 just to break even, but this is where a little homework goes a long way, so let’s get to it. On a day where many staff aces are on the hill I’m going to going to go against one and us the hype to our advantage and get good value with a home team that’s a contender. We can get the hottest team in baseball Philly, and only lay 10% juice so go against the rook and play Philly -110 . The Phillies have won 18 of their last 21 at home and 9-1 against Washington in their last 10. Even if Strasburg is ace he won’t go the distance because of the pitch count and when Philly gets into the bullpen the Nats better have a big cushion. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Behind Enemy Lines in tight divison races

Yo, this is Nicky the Fish back in the saddle of MLB after dropping 3 straight to go 6-3 in our last nine, but we’ve got a mound of data and we are finally getting some separation in a few of the divisions and some good value as well so let’s get back to it. In the evening games I like the OVER in the Twins/Sox Opener (7 buy the hook if your book has it at 7.5). It’s the beginning of a crucial three game set between the two after Minnesota took 3 out of 4 the last time the two matched up. I was looking at the Twins to take game one, but the pitching matchup is tight with Danks (12-8) going up against Baker (10-9) so rather than fight the momentum of a crucial divisional series that the Sox almost have to win, play thwith the mo’ and ride the over. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, saying stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!
12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.