Saturday, March 20, 2010

Behind Enemy Lines, Tournament weekend games

This is Nicky back for more work after dropping 2 games yesterday to be at an even 5-5 for the tournament. Can you believe that last shot by Old Dominion?? They were given a layup and decided to take the pro-range 3, that cost us the cover. Well we knew the job was dangerous when we took it but let’s stay in the ring, so here’s what I got. I like Texas A&M (-3) versus Purdue, I realize many have been calling for the demise of the Boilermakers since Hummel’s injury and they got by their fist matchup but they pay the piper Sunday as they may not have the offensive firepower to keep up with A & M.

Ok, the monster answered yesterday taking 2 of the 3 from us taking us to 4-3 for the dance so we gotta get healthy today, here’s what I got.

Historically in the dance the second day of the weekend has been better to take the points because the teams don’t have the time between games to prepare that they normally do but the line makers just look at teams on their normal merits and that’s where you find the value. So what it see on Saturday is Ohio U (+9 buy the hook) against Tennessee. Rule of thumb is that you never take a dog that you don’t think can win on the court and OU can do that. I thought UT was lucky to get by on Thursday, and not playing their best ball right now.

Another game I like is Old Dominion (+6) vs. Baylor for the same reasons I mentioned before but also because of their D. Allowing less than 60 points per game should give OD a good chance to win let alone keep it within 6 points.

Lastly, I like Washingrton (-2 buy it if you have to) to beat New Mexico in what the seedings would consider an upset yet UW is layin’ points. This is a game that if it was during the regular season and you saw this line you would be all over it. Unlike some of the other schools we’ve talked about the Huskies are playing well right now and they’ve played against tough comp this year and I like them to take the Pac-10 to 3-0. That’s the Saturday chowda’, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.