Saturday, January 16, 2010

Behind Enemy Lines Divisional Playoff Weekend

Yo, this is Nicky and coming off the split yesterday we need a winner in the late game to finish one-up so let’s get to it. The pattern seems to be obvious that the home teams are holding serve, particularly with teams that have had the extra week to prepare, and I’m not going to stand in front of the freight train, but what does concern me is the “non-ideal” weather conditions in San Diego that may keep this game close. The same questions present themselves today as they did last with regarding Mark Sanchez at QB, but throw more chips in the center of the table as it’s a bigger game AND he’s playing so close to his home town. I went against him last week and I’m going to double up and take the SuperChargers (-8.5 buying the hook). On the other side of the ball the Jets can run, but the SD rush D has been ok this year and even better at home. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Ok, we’re off to a good start in completing my mission to even up our playoff record as the Saints are looking like a good cover right now, so let’s move on to the night game. I understand there’s a mountain of pressure on the Colts to answer for laying down in week 14 instead of going for the perfect season, and they have a terrible record in the playoffs when they are the top seed and have a week to rest, that’s not what concerns me about giving up a touchdown. It’s the fact that the Ravens rush for 137 yards per game and the Colts give up well over 100 so the Ravens may be able to control the clock and keep Peyton on the sideline. Because of that I’m liking the Ravens (+7.5 buy the hook) to keep this one close. I know how much mo’ the Colts will have knowing they don’t have to deal with the Patriots their nemesis, but the Ravens are playing inspired and you know that D is not going to give up that many points so although Indy may win, the question is will they be able to put up enough to cover that number? I don’t think so. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Ok, the Pack and the Pats cost us last weekend and we had our first sub .500 weekend in a long time so we gotta get it back this weekend and things only get more difficult but let’s get to it. The first game on Saturday morning is the Cards/Saints matchup where the first thing that comes to your mind is the over, as both of these teams seem to be able to score at will but the betting lines discount everything except acts under God and they’re factoring just that, so the 58 point over is just too high to mess with. Just the same I wouldn’t go the other way as it’s possible this could be a game in the 40’s like last weekend. The Saints have had plenty of time to lament over their last 3 losses and will come out smokin’ in front of a New Orleans crowd that hasn’t hosted a home game since Chuck Muncie was playing tail for em’. I think the Cardinal’s dream of a back-to-back appearance ends this weekend and I know it’s a little lumber, but buy the hook and take the Saints down to -6.5. View the complete stats line for both teams on the main site.

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.