Thursday, January 7, 2010

Behind enemy lines WildCard Weekend

Yo, this is Nicky and I’m back for more damage after hitting the NCG for fun! It’s playoff time so we don’t have a whole board to choose from just four games so we really have to do the work to find some value because there’s no one’s flying under the radar anymore, so let’s get to it. Tough calls in these games as the lines are thin so you’re basically pickin’ winners and to start the WC weekend off I like the Bengals (-3) to get redemption for that a$# whippin’ they took in week 17. I’m still not sold on Sanchez winning his first playoff game in the frigid cold of Cincinnati. The Big Cats will be playing with heavy hearts in memory of TH and I think they’ll come out and play with enormous heart. Everyone’s talking about the Jets #1 defense, but their offense sometimes is simply non-existent and that’s something you can’t have in a playoff game, even if you should be the favorite to win the whole thing.

Wow, this second game is tough to call. I know all of the stats about beating a team 3 times in one season but actually it hasn’t been as one sided as you might think as 12 of the 19 have done just that when given the opportunity. Sometimes you just got someone’s number. In this case the Ca’Boys are playing some of the best football of the season at the right time and the Eagles simply have not been matching up well with Dallas and even though the first game was close, in the second game 7 of their 11 drives ended in punts, 1 to, 1 missed fg, and a stop on downs. We’d be asking them to turn everything around even though they’ve showed no ability to do so. On the other side is all of that history where the Ca’Boys haven’t won a playoff game since Dallas was on TV, and Romo, for being such a playboy, is a virgin when it comes to the winning a playoff game, but I think he will get his first taste this weekend. However, this is combat gentlemen and there are no points for second place, and call it a it what you will but I don’t like Dallas giving up over a field goal in this game, so buy the hook down to a FG and play Dallas -3, and don’t be surprised if you push. For a little taste, try a Cincy +4/Eagles +10 tease to cover yourself as playoff time is an excellent time to tease. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Behind enemy lines BCS Championship

Yo, this is Nicky and we’ve got one more game left before we put a great NCAA Football season on ice. We didn’t get off to a good start but caught fire the last 9 weeks of the year so this is my National Championship, let’s get to it. In the BCS Championship Game I like the Tide (-4.5) over the Horns. I know the record of dogs in this game as well as Texas’ success in the Rose Bowl but this isn’t about quantitative data, this game seems to be a simple matchup of oil and water. The Horns simply have not been able to score or move the ball against good defenses, Colt McCoy has not played well in marquis games (3 ints vs. Nebraska in the B-12 final), and good passing attacks have run up HUGE numbers against them (TTech, A&M). They’ve only got wins over two teams with bowl wins this year and I think their impressive stats are built against sub-par opponents. Look for Ingram to have a big rushing game, Julio to have at least one big play, and the Bama’ special teams to control field position. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky. Stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.