Friday, December 25, 2009

Behind Enemy Lines Week 16

Yo, this is ya boy’ Nicky and I wouldn’t be surprised if I didn’t have a hit out on me the way we’ve been killin’ your book lately, (3-0 last week, off to a 1-0 start this week) but before we get to crazy let’s finish out da’ game. Wow, not even I expected the SuperChargers to take care of us so easily but I did tell ya to hit the money line for a small taste as well, so I hope ya did. The advantage we have now over number is that we have an entire season of stats to work off of, so let’s try to maximize that value. With that in mind I like the Jags (+9) going into New England. I know the Pats are unbeaten at the Razor this year but if there is one thing that the season has illustrated is that the Pats have problems stopping the run, and Jacksonville averages 129 yards on the ground per game. In bad weather look for them to be going to Cool Mo’D early and often and keep this one close. On the qualitative side, the Jags have to win in order to keep their playoff hope alive and the Pats haven’t covered a decent spread since the 07’ season. For you quants, New England is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games, BUT 5-2 ATS their last 7 vs. Jville, of course those were different Patriot teams that this one. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! Don’t forget live chat rooms for every game in the NFL on the main page, also visit the Player’s Club chat room to discuss everything from injuries to weather with other playa’s like yourself. You can also view the Smacchat Stat line for this game here..

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Yo, this is Nicky and after a 3-0 weekend last weekend (don’t forget the bonus pick on the site) we’re 4-1 over the last two weekends so let’s keep the mo’ going. The first game I like is the Friday evening game as the Superchargers (+3.5 buy the hook) travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans. I realize this is a must win for the Titans and the Chargers all but have the AFC Weak wrapped up after the Denver choke last week, but SD is the hottest team in the league right now and they’re looking to get home games against everyone except the Colts who they’re not really afraid of. On top of that the Stats also lean their way as the Chargers are 5-2 ATS their last 5, 4-1 on the road, and 5-0 ATS against Tennessee. This is one of those games that’s looks so good on paper that it makes you check injuries and weather, but I can’t see anything talking me of this. Take the points and consider the money line play for chump change. Here’s the stat line.

SMART CHART San Diego at Tennessee
27.8 PTS FOR 22.9
20.2 PTS AGNST 24.8
7.6 DIFF. -1.9
268.9 PASS YDS 198.0
86.2 RUSH YDS 162.6
213.2 PASS D 265.1
116.9 RUSH D 100.4
-0.5 TO DIFF 0.1

San Diego is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.