Thursday, December 3, 2009

Behind Enemy Lines Championship Week

Yo, this is Nicky back for more action in the NFL had to get some more math done as after getting off to the good start on Thursday night we’re under water for the weekend so let’s find some value. I know we’ve only played one u/o for the year and we hit it, and now I’m going to try and got 2 for 2 as I like the under in the Giants/CaBoy game. The first time these two teams met the tallied 64 points between them and 75% of the time when teams play for the second time in the season the game total goes the other way. Furthermore the total has gone under in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games.
SMART CHART
DAL TEAM NYG
23.2............PTS FOR.........24.7
16.5............PTS AGNST.......23.7
6.6.............DIFF............1.0
254.1...........PASS YDS........247.9
138.0...........RUSH YDS........126.8
224.9...........PASS D..........182.6
102.7...........RUSH D..........107.8
0.3.............TO DIFF.........0.0

Yo this is Nicky and I owe you one for going 0-2 (12-4 last 16) last weekend so I figured we’d get started early, but I like what I see on Thursday on here’s why. Oregon State has only lost one game all year by 10 points and that was to #5 Cincinnati. Also, Oregon gives up over 100 yards per game on the ground (130) which means OState will be able to move the ball and should be able to come close to their average of 32 points per game. I know the Ducks can score but I can’t see them putting up enough to cover double digits in a rivalry game so I like Oregon State (+10.5 buy the hook). For all of you quants, Oregon State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games, and 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road.
SMART CHART
OREGST OREG
32.4............PTS FOR.........37.7
22.2............PTS AGNST.......22.7
10.2............DIFF............15.0
272.5...........PASS YD.........187.5
149.7...........RUSH YDS........231.4
242.1...........PASS D..........193.4
98.5............RUSH D..........130.6
-0.4............TO DIFF.........-0

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.