Saturday, November 14, 2009

Behind enemy lines NCAA week 10

Another 2-0 day in college football means we’re 11-2 our last 13, let’s keep the mo’ going into the NFL. To start off I know our first rule is always to keep even units, what ever it is. Never put any more value in one game than another as you always have the same chance of getting bit. However if there ever was a game that I felt more strongly than normal it is the Broncos (-3, buy the .5) going into Washington. When I looked at this I would have laid 7 or 8 and was fearing the ‘bear trap’ when I saw the line, but it’s still a go. The Broncos’ lead in the West is down to 1 game of the Chargers who are on a roll right now and this would be 3 losses in a row for Denver.

In the late game I like the Patriots (+3.5 buy the .3) at Indy. I know the Colts are unbeaten and a monster at home, but they’re nursing injuries at some key positions. They’ll be starting 2 rookie corners and no Bob Sanders against the number two offense in the league which usually is a recipe for disaster. The Pats are finally clicking offensively and are looking like the pats of 07’. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up! Here’s the statline:

I’m going to start off with another dog with the Stanford Cardinal (+11) on the road at USC. I know everyone remembers the upset and that might be some motivation for the men of troy but the Cardinal run the ball extremely well (211 per game) and will be able to keep SC’s offense off the field. Did you ever think you would see the day when Stanford gained more yards on the ground than USC? I think that’s a pretty big number for a team that controls the ball and doesn’t turn it over.

Next, I like Pittsburgh (-6.5, buy the .5 point) against ND. I looked at this and couldn’t figure out how it was only a touch. I realize that ND needs to become bowl eligible but Pitt needs this win to get a BCS bowl! The numbers all lean Pitts way and I can’t find a reason why ND should be within 2 scores. I realize the Big East is soft this year but then again so is ND’s schedule and they haven’t even done that well with it. Here’s the stat line, that’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.