Saturday, September 19, 2009

Behind Enemy Lines week 2 back in the NFL

Ok, we’ve had enough time to see how the some of the NFL teams have come out of the blocks and it’s time to jump into the fray. Firstly, I like the Ravens (3 buy up to 3.5) going into San Diego. On the qualitative side the Chargers don’t have LT and have to go with Sproles against that Ravens defense. On the quantitative side Baltimore most recently: When playing in September are 7-3, after outgaining opponent are 7-3, when playing outside the division are 9-1 ATS, and I think they can win on the field. I also like the Patriots (-3.5, buy the hook down to 3) to work out the kinks and take care of business against the Jets. All of the popin’ off is just a smoke screen to protect their rookie QB Sanchez from a showdown with Brady. The Patriot coaching staff will have plenty of schemes waiting for Sanchez that he has not seen before, and Bill has a way of making rookies feel unwelcome. Within the numbers the pats are 8-2 when playing in September, and 7-3 when playing on turf. Lastly they’re 8-2 when playing within the division. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Yo, This is Nicky and we jump into the fray really early before teams had a chance to play and we paid the price even though I’d still take that ND bet if I had the chance. So we gotta’ get back into positive territory so let’s get to it. Firstly, I know it’s a lot of lumber but I LOVE Bama (-30) against a weak North Texas team that lost to Ohio and struggled against Ball St. Bama knows they have to look strong in their non-conference schedule so this one should be over by half-time. Additionally, I like BYU (-8) against Bobby Bowden and Florida State, despite the big difference it speed. I know this line would probably be about -3 if the Florida State receiver hangs on the ball and they come into the game 2-0 but BYU’s a well coach school and the Noles’ may have been exposed last week against a division II school. Moreover, Fla St only averages 94 ypg on the ground and they would have to do much better than that to take out the Cougars at home as they are 22-3 their last 25 games. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.