Friday, October 17, 2008

Behind Enemy Lines Week 7

Well I gotta admit it has been a while since I got it handed to me like I did in college last week 0-2 after I broke a cardinal rule on rivalry games (always take those points) but I over estimated the Sooners defense and that cost me. Anyway we’re 6-5 for the year and need to get back up to that .700 pct so let’s grab a gun and stand a post. Firstly, I like Kansas +21 at Oklahoma. I know they will have something to prove after last weeks loss but Kansas was a top ten school earlier this year and they can play D so three touchdowns is a little too much. For the quants I got some dope too: Kansas is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games, 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road, and 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road. Next I like The Head Ball Coach and South Carolina (+3.5) at home vs. LSU. You know the rule when playing dogs, don’t take a team that you don’t think can win on the field, and I think the other USC will have some tricks up their sleeve for the Tigers whom have been exposed as just an average team and I LOVE home dogs in the SEC. In the NFL you gotta love that under (44.5) in the Saint/Panthers game, solely on the quant numbers:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing New Orleans

Lastly, go play the Packers +2 hosting Indy. Two starting running backs for Indy are out, plus they are outside in the elements and even though they have played well over the last two weeks, they are still a bad road team and the change of the seasons won’t help them much either. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring, and keep your gloves up!!

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.