Friday, October 10, 2008

Behind Enemy Lines Week 6

We got a busy week with a lot of good stuff on the board so let’s get to it. We got back-doored by WV giving up a late one to Rutgers causing us a split in college so we didn’t gain any ground, (now 6-3 on the year ) but we’ll get that back this week as I have really “labbed” this week, which all you stat guys will love and got some good stuff. We start off with Texas Tech(-21) laying a HUGE number hosting Nebraska, but relax they will cover and here’s why:
-Texas Tech is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
-Texas Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nebraska
Current streaks - Nebraska has lost 2 straight, Texas Tech has won 5 straight games.
I know it’s never good to go out on a limb when there is low-level fruit to pick, but these games should be good ones to call. I like the Badgers (+6) to hang with Penn State at home. If they drop another their season is over and they play so tough at home and are due for a win after two disappointing losses. For you quants, Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Penn State and 7-3 in October. Lastly, you talk about getting involved in a brawl that might be better to watch but I’m going to take the Sooners (-6.5 buy the hook if your book has it at 7) vs. Texas. They are both good teams and I know the rule is usually to take the points in a game like this, but I’m not sold on the Longhorns’ schedule and here’s some more data for you. Oklahoma:
When playing in October are 9-1 ATS
When playing on grass are 9-1 ATS
After outgaining opponent are 8-2 ATS
When playing within the conference are 8-2 ATS
That’s the college chowder, back with the League picks in a little bit, in the meantime, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!
In the League I love the Over between the Denver and Jville (38.5), Denver never plays one lick of defense and the Jags running game will always be there. Another give me is are the Saints -5 going into San Francisco. Philly is almost in a must win situation playing in the toughest division in football and this will seem like a bye week compared to the competition that they are used to. That's the chowder, I'm Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.