Saturday, April 26, 2008

Previous 'Catch of the Day' postings.

If your books have not cut you off yet after another 2-0 night in the NBA (22-5 for the year) this is where we separate the men from the boys and the girls from the women, as it’s playoff time. Things get more serious now and most of that quantitative data goes out the window as the teams you know from the reg season are NOT the same as in the playoffs, so let’s get to it. We will first cover the series winners then tackle the individual games. In the first round series you’re laying serious juice so you may want to stay off, but if you’ve been playing with us then you know this is about money management and we have plenty in the bank but there is no value with the Lakers -750 and Boston is too expensive at -6000, so in those series we’ll have to find some individual games. I do like Orlando(-320), Washington (E), Dallas (+115) and Phoenix(+115). The ONLY number I like is Philly (+10) in game 1 as they should keep that close. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, April 19, 2008

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Well, we still seem to have a good feel for the NBA as we had another 2-0 night with the Mavs and Knicks, so your books should be pretty much canceling your accounts by now as we move our record to 20-5 or the year. I split again with the last game of the final four hitting the UCLA/Memphis over but missed going with the Heels so we ended the Big Dance at .500. Ok, a couple of things look good tonight so let’s get to it. I like the Lakeshow (-2.5) at home against the Hornets to clinch the Pacific and climb to .5 behind the Hornets for the 1-seed. But tread lightly as New Orleans is 12-3ats vs. the Pacific Division. I also like the Rockettes(-2.5) hosting the Suns for several reasons. Most of all the winner will probably take the 5-seed and avoid a possible first-round match-up with Kobe and the Lakers. Secondly, for you quants, Houston is 22-9ats the second half of the season, 11-3ats on Friday nights, and 20-8ats after 3 or more consecutive wins. So that should be enough data for you. Ok, that’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Friday, April 11, 2008

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As the Association gets down to it’s final week things are getting tougher to call as the spreads inflate, that’s why it’s been tough for the system to find winners. Just the same we went 2-1 with out last picks to improve to 18-5 in the NBA. The dance has not been so kind as we are .500 as Memphis continues to defy me, so let’s get to it. Sticking with the Dance, I’m am going to take my first over of the year and play the over (133) in the Memphis/UCLA game. The quant data is overwhelming in this one as Memphis games have gone over in their last 5 tourney games, and 4-1 in UCLA’s last 5. This is a tough one because if you like Memphis you have to play the over and if you think UCLA wins it then you either play the under or stay off, I suggest the latter. In the second game there is just too much data that points NC’s (-3) way, they are 15-2ats after a non-conference game and 15-1ats IN non conference games. That’s a combined 30-3ats in games like the one upcoming. Lastly they are 21-6ats when playing against a team with a winning record. This is one of those games where either go with the numbers or stay off. Lastly in the NBA I like Dallas(+6) will play the Lakers tough as it could be a first round preview of the first round match-up, and secondly I like the Knicks, yea I said it, the Knicks(+18) vs. the Hornets as that entire club will be bustin’ it for the new owners to make sure they have a job next year, and even if the Hornets get out to a big lead they will be resting starters for the stretch run. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Friday, April 4, 2008

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That WV game was a tough one to lose as they had the game in control, but that’s why it’s the tournament, right? But we rallied to win the next 2 and go 2-1 for the night and now we got a little cushion above .500 for the tournament. Tonight I look for some great games to watch but tough games to call. The game that I like the most is Mich. St (+5) to upset Memphis and take the first #1 down. The quants LOVE this game as the Spartans are 8-0ats in neutral court games, and 6-1 ats in March games.

In the Association (where we are 16-4) I like, and I know you take risk when you put money on bad teams, but I like the Hawks (-4.5) vs. the Bulls. This is just the playoff v ‘non-playoff’ scenario, and the Hawks need a win. Next I like the Hornets (+7.5) at the Celtics. The NO is 5-1ats vs. the Atlantic division and 10-3 in March. Lastly, I like the Spurs (-12) at home vs. the Twolves the West is open and the Spurs know this is one of the few ‘givens’ that appear on the schedule. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up.

12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.