Thursday, March 20, 2008

previous post

All of the books or online services that you people use should be cutting you off about now, as we had another 2-0 night to improve to 16-4 in the Association. But this night is about ‘The Dance’ so let’s get to it. I LOVE the Bruins to win the game but 12.5 is just a ton of points in a tournament game, even in the first round. In the course of the Bruins going 12-0 over the last 12, they are an even 6-6 ATS, as opposed to WKU which is 7-0 ATS their last 7 games. In short, I’m going to take the number (+12.5) in this one. Next, I like West Virginia (pk) vs. The X-Men. Xavier has had to come from behind in both of their victories and WV shoots much to well to give up those types of runs. Lastly, I like The Ville’ (-2) vs. Tennessee as the Patino D’ will take over this game, particularly if Lofton is not 100%. The Cards are peaking at the right time and also have been battle tested in the Big East. Lastly, for the quants, the Vols are 1-5 ATS in tournament games. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!!

Ok, we have ventured into the mire that is the NCAA tournament and it has not been easy. We called the WV upset but boy did we go the wrong way on UCLA, so we are still 500 in the Big Dance. Phoenix was easy money in the Association so the record has improved to 14-4 where we are just Kickin’ Arsh and takin’ names, let’s get back into it. In the NBA you gotta love the Spurs (+2) on the road vs. the Magic. This is a qualitative call because of the way the west is still up for grabs and each game means so much, they just have more to lose. I do realize the Spurs are 1-9 ATS as a road dog of 3pts or less, but I still like em’. Lastly, I like the Hornets (-4) at Indiana as there is NO WAY they will let a team at .414 knock them off the top spot in the West. That's the chowder, I'm Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

We had another good night in the association with the Cavs and Warriors taking our record to 13-4 thus far. The dance was not as kind as when the point guard went down UCONN was done, and so were we. Texas helped us out and took care of business in an easy way, so we went 1-1.Today I LOVE West Virginia (+3) vs. Duke. I don’t think it was a wake up call vs. Bellmont in the first game, the truth is they simply are not that good. On the other had WV is good and much more balanced. I also like UCLA (-10 perhaps buy down to 9.5) to cover again. They are not far from home and on the same schedule (thurs/sat) as the weekly pac-10 schedule, they will play well today. In the Association I am still riding the “back down to earth” train and love Phoenix (-5.5) vs the Rockettes as they will soon be back in 7th spot where they belong. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up.

Ok, so the Lake Show came to play last night and dropped us to 11-4 in the association. Today I like Cleveland (-5) vs. the Raptors and Golden State (-4) at home vs. the Rockettes. I like to favs in the dance today as UCONN (-11.5) should handle the San Diego and Texas (-15) should blow out Austin Peay and look to send a message. That's a lot of chowder, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!
ow, they were giving away money last night with the Hornets, and how bout the Sixers ruining Iverson’s return? Anyway another 2-0 night to bring us to 11-3 for the year. Obviously the topic on the table is the Big Dance so let’s get to it. I like South Alabama getting (+4) vs. Butler and Drake (-4) vs. Western Kentucky. In the association play Utah (-4 buy down to 3.5) vs. the ‘Gasoless’ Lakers. That’s the chowder, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Well, the Warriors didn’t show up for us last night but the Pistons won going away so I owe you some juice. Now we are 9-3 in the Association and need a 2-0 night, so let’s get busy. I like the Hornets(-2 buy down to 1.5) to hand the Rockettes their second straight loss tonight, purely for qualitative reasons. However if you need some numbers to make you feel better, the Rockettes are 1-8 ats after scoring 85 points or less. Next I LOVE the Sixers (-1) vs the Nuggets who are on back to back, with Philly fighting for a playoff spot. Philly is 7-1 ats in March, and 17-5 ats the second half of the season. Tournament picks begin tomorrow. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

Previous Picks and Post

How bout them Sixers?? Winning ON THE COURT getting a ton, and what about GS 117-106, taking the record to 8-2 in the Association. I see some things I like so it’s time to get back into the fray. Firstly I’m going to change up and play Detroit (-5) at home vs. the Nuggets. I know they are 1-6 against the Northwest Division but I like their momentum and we can’t always be quants. Also I love the Warriors (-2) on the road vs. the Kings. They match up well with them and need to win these types of games to stay in the hunt with less than 20 games to go. Ok, for you lovers of quantitative information GS is 4-1 as a road favorite of less than 3 points. Anyway, that’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Previous Post

Ok, Dirk not playing was bigger than I thought and the Mavs let me down and broke my streak so our record in The Association is now 6-2. Now back on the road to prosperity with a couple of good games tonight. I like Philly (+9) going to Detroit, because they’ve been playing well (7-3 in their last 10) and now have a shot to move up the playoff food chain. Also in the NBA I like Golden St (-8) vs Toronto w/out Chris Bosh and on back to back. The Warriors have a 2.5 game lead for the last playoff spot in the west, are 4-1 their last 5, and know that the games against the East are must wins down the stretch. That's the chowder, I'm Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Well, we’re on a bit of a roll, we hit two more NBA games to improve our record to 6-1 as the Lakers and Warriors took care of business. There is some good stuff on the board tonight so let’s go to work. First off we start in College where I love Stanford (+10) at UCLA. I know the Bruins beat them at Stanford earlier in the year but the Lopez twins got in foul trouble and one fouled out. The Bruin guards with give Stanford fits but the Cardinal shot blocking and defense down low will give Love trouble. In the NBA the winning streak come to an end in Dallas this evening and after losing 2 straight on the road at LA and Utah the Mavericks get back on the right track tonight. Play the Mavs (-2) at home against the Rockets, even though the quant data points the other way. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Thursday, March 6, 2008

Previous Picks

Ok, not a lot of college on the board tonight so we’re going to wait until there is a full slate to choose from. But in the NBA where we are 4-1, we are going go on the road twice with the Lakers (-5) against the Sacramento Kings and the Golden State Warriors (-1). The Lakeshow is coming off a big win at home against the Mavericks, but Pau did not play well after the first quarter so look for him to step it up tonight in the closest thing the NBA has to a rivalry game. The Warriors have been playing well and sit just outside the playoff picture. Look for this one to be tight throughout with GS getting a late cover. That’s the chowder, I’m Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Saturday, March 1, 2008

Week of 2/25-3/2

Ok, now that we’re above the water-mark in the NBA(2-1), (1-0) in college let’s look to do a little damage. Tonight even though they are on back-to-back games I like the Nets (-2.5) against the Bucks at home.

There some good data on the quant side for this game: Buy down the half if you can, so you push on the 2-point win.
NEW JERSEY is 4-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 4-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons

On the College side I LOVE the Bruins (-8) against Arizona St. I understand that they have Arizona on National TV on Saturday but UCLA won't be looking ahead as they just had the 'lack of effort' conversation posted in the LA times last week and should beat up on a much weaker opponent. Quant side, they are 10-4 ats vs. the Pac-10. That's chowder, I'm Nicky, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.