Saturday, January 5, 2008

Behind enemy lines, playoff trenches

Coming off our third straight unbeaten week (2-0-1) the record for the season is now 30-11-1 after the Skins and Superchargers took care of their business, the ONE TIME we don’t buy down the point we get burned as the Titans ended up pushing with the Colts depending when you got in.

Now it’s playoff time and time to separate the men from the boys so let’s get to it. On Saturday I like the Sea Chickens (-3 buy it down) to continue their winning ways at home. The Hawks’ have been two totally different teams this year, have a great home record but less than stellar on the road. They have beaten up on the Skins’ before in the playoffs, and look for them to do so again. In the AFC I love getting points at home and look for the Steelers (+2) to put 8 in the box and make the Jags beat them from the air, which they may not be able to do. They have also never lost twice at home to the same team in one season so I’m going to take the two points here, this also makes for a great teaser game. On Sunday the Giants are going to understand why that week of rest is so priceless as they are going to get beat by a much fresher Tampa Bay(-3) squad. Lastly,
Despite them playing so well lately, I like the Titans(+9) to play the Chargers tough. The game in Tennessee went into overtime and this will be close as well. An unexpected3-day storm has hit California and the track will be muddy and slow. White and Young will play for the Titans and Fisher will find a way to keep this one close, another great teaser. Let’s keep the Mo’ going, that’s the chowder, I’m Nikki the Fish, stay in the ring and keep your gloves up!

Quants Corner..70% of the action is on the Jags. The Steelers are 1-4 vs. the spread their last 5 home playoff games, and are 1-6 their las 7 vs. AFC teams. The Jags are 11-5 vs the spread this season, and 5-0 ATS their last 5 vs. teams with winning records. They are also 6-0 ATS their last 6 as a favorite. All of this and I'm going the other way.

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12-5 college for the year, 9-3 in pro. If you have comments, questions on a game, or need injury and weather reports, list your question in the blog for answers. ‘Nikki the Fish’ in the Player’s Club chat room every Wednesday.